{ "$schema": "https://github.com/otakuch/observatoires-ia/blob/main/schemas/metiers-ia-ch.schema.json", "version": "0.3.0", "compiled_at": "2026-04-26", "country": "CH", "nomenclature": "NP 2010 (OFS · 394 groupes de professions)", "scope": "Métiers suisses · exposition à l'IA · 2026", "license": "CC BY 4.0", "source_aggregator": "Naully Nicolas · observatoire[s]·ia", "documentation_url": "https://observatoire-ia.naullynicolas.ch/methodologie.html", "underlying_dashboard": "https://observatoire.naullynicolas.ch/ch/", "count": 324, "metiers": [ { "label": "Agriculteur céréalier", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A0Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4200, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 3.0, "exposure_score_avg": 2.7, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Agri-manager & superviseur systèmes d'agriculture de précision", "explanation_fr": "Coface 2026 : agriculture = <8% exposition — le secteur le plus protégé. Les tâches matter→matter (sol, plantes, météo, terrain) restent irremplaçables. L'agriculteur supervise les drones et capteurs IA, mais la décision reste humaine." }, { "role": "Expert certification qualité & circuits courts premium", "explanation_fr": "Coface : les produits agricoles suisses (AOP, IGP, Suisse Garantie) créent une valeur d'authenticité et traçabilité que l'IA ne peut pas générer. La relation producteur-consommateur local est un actif protégé." }, { "role": "Formateur agriculture régénérative & transition carbone", "explanation_fr": "Coface identifie les nouvelles tâches créées par l'IA comme elles-mêmes potentiellement automatisables — exception : l'expertise en adaptation climatique locale requiert connaissance du terrain irremplaçable." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation agriculture", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Frey & Osborne 2024 update", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Monde · IA et agriculture", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Maraîcher", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A0Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 3800, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 2.0, "exposure_score_avg": 2.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Circuits courts numériques", "explanation_fr": "Vente directe, abonnements paniers, AMAP digitales." }, { "role": "Consultant agroécologie", "explanation_fr": "Transition vers pratiques bas-intrants." }, { "role": "Expert nutrition terrain", "explanation_fr": "Restauration collective, agriculture urbaine." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2022, "citation": "OCDE · automatisation agriculture", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Éleveur bovin", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4000, "headcount_ch_2024": 14000, "exposure_score_primary": 2.0, "exposure_score_avg": 2.5, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Spécialiste bien-être animal & traçabilité", "explanation_fr": "Capteurs santé, IoT bétail." }, { "role": "Producteur lait différencié AOP", "explanation_fr": "Valorisation terroir, vente directe." }, { "role": "Conseiller zootechnique", "explanation_fr": "Optimisation génétique, nutrition." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "INRAE · robots de traite", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "La France Agricole · robots et IA", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Conseiller bancaire", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 42000, "exposure_score_primary": 7.0, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Conseiller patrimonial à forte relation humaine", "explanation_fr": "ITDF 2026 : dimension 'care' dans les services financiers — empathie, confiance, accompagnement des moments de vie (mariage, retraite, deuil)." }, { "role": "Spécialiste produits complexes & jugement humain", "explanation_fr": "Les produits standards sont automatisés ; les cas complexes (successions, entrepreneurs, crises) nécessitent jugement et intuition humains." }, { "role": "Expert accompagnement & inclusion numérique", "explanation_fr": "ITDF alerte sur les inégalités IA : accompagner les clients peu à l'aise avec le numérique — rôle social et inclusif essentiel." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "NBER w31161 · LLMs & finance jobs", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "BCE · IA secteur bancaire", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "McKinsey · bancassurance", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Les Échos · robo-advisors", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Actuaire", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C2Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 11500, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 8.0, "exposure_score_avg": 8.7, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Modélisateur risques systémiques & superviseur d'agents actuariels", "explanation_fr": "Coface 2026 : finance & assurance = 25% exposition. Les calculs actuariels standards seront largement automatisés. La valeur humaine : identifier les risques émergents non-modélisables, superviser les modèles IA." }, { "role": "Expert risques IA & résilience des systèmes automatisés", "explanation_fr": "Coface alerte sur les 'cascading errors' des systèmes multi-agents. L'actuaire identifie les points de rupture des chaînes d'agents, modélise les risques systémiques des architectures IA." }, { "role": "Conseiller stratégique en capital et gouvernance", "explanation_fr": "Phase 2 Coface : worker = 'flow supervisor'. L'actuaire supervise les agents, valide les résultats sur les cas complexes, conseille les comités de direction sur les hypothèses stratégiques." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "NBER · modélisation ML & assurance", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Brynjolfsson · tâches analytiques", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "IMF WP · assurance & IA", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Analyste risques", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C2Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 8.0, "exposure_score_avg": 7.7, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert risques émergents & jugement humain", "explanation_fr": "ITDF 2026 : anticiper les risques non-modélisés (géopolitique, black swans, cascades systémiques) requiert imagination et intuition — compétences unmachineables." }, { "role": "Auditeur des modèles IA & risques algorithmiques", "explanation_fr": "Un risque nouveau : biais et erreurs des IA de gestion des risques. Superviser les superviseurs — rôle humain critique identifié comme priorité réglementaire." }, { "role": "Conseiller résilience organisationnelle", "explanation_fr": "ITDF : 82% des experts prévoient impact IA majeur ≤10 ans. Préparer les organisations à ce choc — rôle stratégique en forte émergence." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. (OpenAI) · LLM exposure", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "BIS · IA & risques financiers", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Reuters · IA compliance", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Agent immobilier", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7500, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 5.0, "exposure_score_avg": 5.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Consultant proptech & smart building", "explanation_fr": "Jumeaux numériques, immeubles connectés." }, { "role": "Expert immobilier durable RE2020", "explanation_fr": "DPE, MaPrimeRénov', rénovation énergétique." }, { "role": "Gestionnaire patrimoine locatif", "explanation_fr": "Yield management automatisé." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "McKinsey · proptech & agences", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Figaro Immo · visites virtuelles", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 4, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "PropTech France · baromètre", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Commercial B2B", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 52000, "exposure_score_primary": 4.0, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Orchestrateur pipeline & stratège commercial", "explanation_fr": "MGI 2025 (cas réel) : agents libèrent 30 à 50% du temps commercial. +7 à 12% revenus projetés. L'humain se concentre sur négociation, partenariats et relation client stratégique." }, { "role": "Key account manager & architecte relation client", "explanation_fr": "MGI : 'customer relations' figure parmi les 8 compétences high-prevalence qui résistent (SCI bas). Renforcer la loyauté et construire des relations long terme restent humains." }, { "role": "Business developer & expert intelligence marché", "explanation_fr": "MGI SCI : problem-solving et leadership évoluent sans disparaître. L'humain interprète les données agents et prend les décisions stratégiques non-modélisables." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Gartner · SDR automation", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Autor et al. · tâches vs emplois", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Harvard Business Review · IA & vente", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "E-commerce manager", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D1Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 8.8, "exposure_score_avg": 7.5, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur expérience client omnicanal", "explanation_fr": "Cohérence touchpoints digitaux/physiques." }, { "role": "Expert commerce social & live", "explanation_fr": "TikTok Shop, Instagram Commerce, live shopping." }, { "role": "Consultant marchés émergents", "explanation_fr": "Afrique subsaharienne, Asie du Sud-Est." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · marketing & LLMs", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · e-commerce automation", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Journal du Net · IA e-commerce", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.8, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Customer service reps 70.1% observed (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Vendeur automobile", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 15000, "exposure_score_primary": 4.0, "exposure_score_avg": 4.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert mobilité électrique & bornes", "explanation_fr": "Conseil VE, gestion de flotte." }, { "role": "Consultant fleet B2B LLD", "explanation_fr": "Location longue durée, services mobilité." }, { "role": "Spécialiste véhicule connecté & data", "explanation_fr": "Télématique, données embarquées." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "McKinsey · automotive retail", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "L'Argus · IA concessions", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Journaliste", "np_domain": "E", "np_domain_label": "Communication, média, traduction", "fap_code": "E1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7200, "headcount_ch_2024": 14000, "exposure_score_primary": 7.0, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Journaliste d'investigation & gardien épistémique", "explanation_fr": "ITDF 2026 (386 experts) : la 'vigilance épistémique' est la compétence-clé de l'ère IA. Enquêter, vérifier, sourcer contre la désinformation synthétique." }, { "role": "Journaliste de terrain & témoin humain", "explanation_fr": "Dimension 'experience' (ITDF) : être présent, vivre, témoigner — irremplaçable. L'IA ne peut couvrir un conflit ou une catastrophe." }, { "role": "Formateur médias & 'littératie existentielle'", "explanation_fr": "ITDF identifie la formation critique comme pilier de résilience. Former le public à distinguer vrai et synthétique — rôle social crucial." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Reuters Institute · IA & journalisme", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "WAN-IFRA · newsrooms IA", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Libération · IA rédactions françaises", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 4, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Enquête rédacteurs en chef FR", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Rédacteur web", "np_domain": "E", "np_domain_label": "Communication, média, traduction", "fap_code": "E1Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 8.5, "exposure_score_avg": 8.9, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Stratège contenu & éditeur-superviseur IA", "explanation_fr": "ITDF 2026 : jugement éditorial et supervision des IA génératives restent humains. Valider, authentifier, donner une voix singulière à la marque." }, { "role": "Créateur d'expériences narratives singulières", "explanation_fr": "Dimension 'experience' (ITDF) : témoignages, récits incarnés, voix authentique — ce que les IA ne peuvent pas générer avec autorité morale." }, { "role": "Expert content strategy & sens critique humain", "explanation_fr": "Compétence unmachineable (ITDF) : discerner ce qui résonne humainement vs ce qui sonne creux. L'IA ne ressent pas." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Noy & Zhang MIT · LLMs & writing", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Autor MIT · content generation", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey Global Institute · content work", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Le Monde · freelances vs IA", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "OpenAI · AI Jobs Transition Framework · rédaction = exposition maximale", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Traducteur", "np_domain": "E", "np_domain_label": "Communication, média, traduction", "fap_code": "E1Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 7000, "headcount_ch_2024": 5500, "exposure_score_primary": 9.0, "exposure_score_avg": 8.7, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Réviseur post-édition IA (MTPE)", "explanation_fr": "Contrôle qualité et adaptation culturelle." }, { "role": "Expert localisation produit & UX", "explanation_fr": "Applications, jeux, interfaces multi-marchés." }, { "role": "Terminologue & gestionnaire mémoires TM", "explanation_fr": "Bases terminologiques sectorielles critiques." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Koehn et al. · Neural MT quality", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM translation", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Commission EU · traduction IA", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Graphiste", "np_domain": "E", "np_domain_label": "Communication, média, traduction", "fap_code": "E2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6800, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 6.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur artistique & superviseur IA créative", "explanation_fr": "ITDF 2026 : imagination et sens esthétique restent des compétences unmachineables. Diriger les IA, imposer un regard humain singulier." }, { "role": "Gardien de l'identité de marque & brand strategist", "explanation_fr": "Les marques ont besoin d'un gardien humain contre la banalisation algorithmique — jugement culturel et intentionnalité irremplaçables." }, { "role": "Créateur d'expériences visuelles incarnées", "explanation_fr": "Dimension 'experience' (ITDF) : art interactif, installations physiques, design sensoriel — ce que l'IA ne peut pas vivre ni ressentir." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Dell'Acqua et al. · creative AI tasks", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Adobe · Firefly impact study", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Créazine · IA et graphisme", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Maçon", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F0Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6200, "headcount_ch_2024": 38000, "exposure_score_primary": 1.0, "exposure_score_avg": 1.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Artisan expertise & chantiers complexes non-reproductibles", "explanation_fr": "Coface 2026 : construction = <15% exposition. Les tâches matter→matter (construction, réparation, adaptation terrain) restent les moins exposées à l'IA agentique. La maçonnerie de restauration, le travail en conditions difficiles." }, { "role": "Formateur gestes de métier & intégration outils numériques", "explanation_fr": "Coface identifie la 'embodied complexity' comme premier bouclier anti-automatisation. Transmettre les gestes aux apprentis — formation duale suisse — et intégrer les outils numériques de chantier (BIM, drones) sans perdre le savoir-faire physique." }, { "role": "Coordinateur chantier & interface terrain-digital", "explanation_fr": "Coface Phase 2 : les agents IA planifient, les humains adaptent. Le maçon-coordinateur valide les plans agents sur le terrain réel, signale les impossibilités physiques que les modèles ignorent." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 1.0, "year": 2022, "citation": "Frey & Osborne · construction physique", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 1.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "OCDE · automatisation BTP", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Bâtiment · robots chantier", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Électricien bâtiment", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F0Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 6800, "headcount_ch_2024": 35000, "exposure_score_primary": 2.0, "exposure_score_avg": 2.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Technicien bornes recharge VE (IRVE)", "explanation_fr": "Installation bornes AC/DC, certification ADVENIR." }, { "role": "Expert photovoltaïque & autoconsommation", "explanation_fr": "Installation, raccordement, suivi production." }, { "role": "Installateur bâtiment connecté & GTB", "explanation_fr": "Smart home, KNX, intégration IoT." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2022, "citation": "Frey & Osborne · artisan électrique", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "FFIE · numérique et électriciens", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Batiactu · IA et diagnostic", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Conducteur de travaux", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F0Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 9000, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 4.0, "exposure_score_avg": 4.7, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "BIM Manager & jumeaux numériques", "explanation_fr": "Maquettes 3D, clash detection, lifecycle BIM." }, { "role": "Expert RSE & construction bas-carbone", "explanation_fr": "Bilan carbone chantiers, CSRD." }, { "role": "Coordinateur chantier connecté IoT", "explanation_fr": "Capteurs, drones de surveillance chantier." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "McKinsey · coordination chantier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "NBER · managers & IA", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Construction21 · IA chef de chantier", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Architecte", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F0Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 22000, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 5.7, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Concepteur d'espaces humains & superviseur de conception IA", "explanation_fr": "Coface 2026 : architecture & engineering = haute exposition (data→data pour les plans numériques). L'humain pilote les agents IA, impose le jugement esthétique, contextualisé, culturel que les modèles ne peuvent pas avoir." }, { "role": "Expert bâtiment durable & exigences réglementaires complexes", "explanation_fr": "Coface : la 'horizontal complexity' protège les professions confrontées à des cas réellement variés. Chaque bâtiment est unique — contexte géographique, client, réglementation cantonale, contraintes locales." }, { "role": "Médiateur projet & coordinateur multi-acteurs", "explanation_fr": "Coface Phase 2 : les tâches person→person (négociation, influence, coordination) = exposition intermédiaire. L'architecte comme pivot humain entre client, maître d'ouvrage, bureaux d'études et entreprises." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou · design tasks LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Autodesk · AI architecture", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "D'architectures · IA Archicad", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Cuisinier", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G0Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5200, "headcount_ch_2024": 55000, "exposure_score_primary": 2.0, "exposure_score_avg": 1.9, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chef consultant & food concept", "explanation_fr": "Ghost kitchen, concepts, formation professionnelle." }, { "role": "Expert nutrition personnalisée", "explanation_fr": "Apps nutrition, traiteurs thérapeutiques." }, { "role": "Créateur de contenu gastronomique", "explanation_fr": "YouTube Food, TikTok, masterclasses." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2022, "citation": "Frey & Osborne · cuisine manuelle", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "UMIH · automatisation restauration", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "L'Hôtellerie Restauration · robots", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 1.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "Imas · U. Chicago · secteur relationnel 2026 (humain = produit)", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Réceptionniste hôtel", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G0Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 4800, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 3.0, "exposure_score_avg": 4.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Guest experience manager", "explanation_fr": "CRM hôtelier, gestion avis, upselling." }, { "role": "Revenue manager hôtelier", "explanation_fr": "Yield management dynamique, distribution OTA." }, { "role": "Coordinateur conciergerie premium", "explanation_fr": "Services sur-mesure, clientèle internationale." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Skift · hôtellerie & IA", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Autor · service encounter", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "L'Écho Touristique · chatbots hôtels", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Ingénieur process", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 22000, "exposure_score_primary": 7.0, "exposure_score_avg": 6.7, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Architecte systèmes humain-agent-robot & orchestrateur", "explanation_fr": "Coface 2026 : engineering & computational = 29% exposition — le plus élevé de toutes les familles. Les tâches de modélisation et simulation sont très exposées. La valeur : concevoir les systèmes d'agents, garantir leur sûreté." }, { "role": "Expert sûreté & validation des systèmes autonomes industriels", "explanation_fr": "Coface identifie les erreurs en cascade comme risque majeur des architectures multi-agents. L'ingénieur process valide que les agents industriels n'amplifient pas les défaillances — rôle humain réglementairement exigé." }, { "role": "Spécialiste procédés physiques à haute complexité sensorielle", "explanation_fr": "Coface matrice matter→matter : les tâches physiques, précision tactile, adaptation temps réel restent protégées. L'ingénieur terrain, sur les équipements complexes en conditions réelles, garde une valeur irremplaçable." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Brynjolfsson · digital twin automation", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · industrie 4.0", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Siemens IA report 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Soudeur", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H2Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 6200, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 2.0, "exposure_score_avg": 2.5, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Technicien soudure robotisée cobots", "explanation_fr": "Programmation et supervision de cellules robotisées." }, { "role": "Expert contrôle qualité NDT", "explanation_fr": "Contrôle non destructif, radiographie, ultrasons." }, { "role": "Formateur soudage haute performance", "explanation_fr": "Procédés spéciaux, aéronautique, nucléaire." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2022, "citation": "Frey & Osborne · soudage physique", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Deloitte · cobots & soudage", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Technicien maintenance", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7000, "headcount_ch_2024": 32000, "exposure_score_primary": 3.0, "exposure_score_avg": 3.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Technicien maintenance prédictive IoT", "explanation_fr": "Capteurs vibratoires, analyse données d'usure." }, { "role": "Technicien énergies renouvelables", "explanation_fr": "Éoliennes, panneaux solaires, piles H2." }, { "role": "Diagnostiqueur bâtiment & audit énergétique", "explanation_fr": "DPE, audits thermiques, rénovation." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2022, "citation": "Frey & Osborne · maintenance physique", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Deloitte · predictive maintenance", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Industrie & Technologies · IoT maintenance", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Automaticien", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I1Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 14000, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 5.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Ingénieur systèmes cyber-physiques", "explanation_fr": "IoT industriel, Industry 4.0, OT security." }, { "role": "Expert jumeaux numériques & simulation", "explanation_fr": "PLM, SCADA augmenté." }, { "role": "Architecte IT/OT convergence", "explanation_fr": "Réseaux industriels sécurisés, IIOT." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Autor · routine analytical tasks", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automation engineering", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Information security analysts 48.6% observed (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Médecin généraliste", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J3Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 11000, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 5.2, "exposure_score_avg": 4.8, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Médecin téléconsultation & parcours digital", "explanation_fr": "Plateformes santé, maladies chroniques." }, { "role": "Expert médecine préventive & IA prédictive", "explanation_fr": "Algorithmes prédictifs, population health." }, { "role": "Formateur IA médicale", "explanation_fr": "Usage éthique des outils de diagnostic IA." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "NEJM · LLMs en médecine générale", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "JAMA · AI clinical decision", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "HAS France · IA et médecins", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Quotidien du Médecin", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5.2, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Medical record specialists 66.7% observed (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Infirmier", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J4Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 95000, "exposure_score_primary": 3.0, "exposure_score_avg": 3.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Infirmier expert & superviseur des protocoles IA", "explanation_fr": "ITDF 2026 : 'ceux qui prennent soin' (care) sont au cœur du travail futur. L'IA assiste le diagnostic, l'infirmier supervise et accompagne." }, { "role": "Coordinateur soins & liaison patient-système", "explanation_fr": "Compétence unmachineable : empathie clinique, lecture non-verbale, présence physique thérapeutique — irremplaçable par définition." }, { "role": "Formateur soins & éthique en environnement IA", "explanation_fr": "Former les nouvelles générations à travailler avec les IA tout en préservant la relation humaine au cœur des soins." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "The Lancet · nursing & AI", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "WHO · digital health nurses", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Revue de l'Infirmière · IA soins", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Radiologue", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J3Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 15000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 7.8, "exposure_score_avg": 7.5, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Radiologue interventionnel", "explanation_fr": "Actes guidés imagerie · haute valeur ajoutée." }, { "role": "Expert validation IA médicale CE/FDA", "explanation_fr": "Certification dispositifs IA médicale." }, { "role": "Responsable téléradiologie multi-sites", "explanation_fr": "Organisation supervision à distance." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Rajpurkar et al. NEJM · radiology AI", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Nature Medicine · chest X-ray AI", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "HAS France · imagerie IA", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.8, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Healthcare record automation tasks (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Assistant·e en soins (ASSC) CFC", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5500, "headcount_ch_2024": 65000, "exposure_score_primary": 2.0, "exposure_score_avg": 2.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Professionnel soins humains & superviseur technologique", "explanation_fr": "ITDF 2026 : 'ceux qui prennent soin' = avenir du travail. Superviser les robots d'assistance tout en apportant la présence humaine irremplaçable." }, { "role": "Expert soins palliatifs & accompagnement de fin de vie", "explanation_fr": "La présence humaine dans les moments les plus intimes de la vie est unmachineable (ITDF) — jamais substituable par une IA." }, { "role": "Formateur gestes de soins & éthique du care", "explanation_fr": "Transmettre la culture du soin à la nouvelle génération — former à l'empathie clinique dans un environnement de plus en plus technologique." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2022, "citation": "Frey & Osborne · soins physiques", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "OCDE · care workers", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Soins · IA et aide-soignants", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Pharmacien", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 5.7, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Pharmacien santé numérique & téléconsultation", "explanation_fr": "Accompagnement pathologies chroniques." }, { "role": "Expert biotechs & biopharmaceutique", "explanation_fr": "Développement médicaments, essais cliniques." }, { "role": "Spécialiste oncologie & maladies rares", "explanation_fr": "Médicaments innovants, accès ATU." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "NEJM · pharmacy automation", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "ANSM · IA et pharmacie", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Le Moniteur des Pharmacies", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Aide à domicile", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "K2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4500, "headcount_ch_2024": 52000, "exposure_score_primary": 1.0, "exposure_score_avg": 1.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Professionnel care augmenté par la technologie", "explanation_fr": "ITDF 2026 : la dimension 'care' est le cœur résistant du travail humain. Superviser capteurs et robots d'assistance tout en garantissant la chaleur humaine." }, { "role": "Coordinateur bien-être & lien social", "explanation_fr": "Lutter contre l'isolement aggravé par les IA sociales (ITDF alerte sur les 'parasocial lives') — rôle humain irremplaçable de maintien du lien réel." }, { "role": "Formateur usages numériques pour personnes vulnérables", "explanation_fr": "Inclusion numérique : aider seniors et personnes fragiles à naviguer dans le monde IA sans être exploitées — médiateur digital crucial." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 1.0, "year": 2022, "citation": "Frey & Osborne · care physique", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 1.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Rapport Blanchet · emploi à domicile", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Particulier Emploi · IA", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Éducateur·trice social·e ES / HES", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "K1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7000, "headcount_ch_2024": 28000, "exposure_score_primary": 3.0, "exposure_score_avg": 3.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Spécialiste résilience & accompagnement humain", "explanation_fr": "ITDF 2026 : face aux disruptions IA (travail, identité, sens), l'éducateur spécialisé est un pivot de la résilience sociale. Dimension 'care' irremplaçable." }, { "role": "Expert inclusion numérique & littératie IA", "explanation_fr": "ITDF identifie la 'littératie existentielle' comme compétence fondamentale. Former les personnes vulnérables à naviguer dans le monde IA." }, { "role": "Médiateur humain-technologie en institution", "explanation_fr": "Dans les ESMS, superviser l'introduction des IA d'assistance tout en préservant la relation éducative humaine au centre du soin." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Autor · social service work", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "IGAS · travailleurs sociaux & IA", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Policier·ère cantonal·e", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "K4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8200, "headcount_ch_2024": 22000, "exposure_score_primary": 4.0, "exposure_score_avg": 3.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert décision sous incertitude & gestionnaire de crise", "explanation_fr": "Coface matrice : person→person avec haute variabilité situationnelle = très protégé par 'horizontal complexity'. La police gère des cas vraiment imprévisibles que les statistiques ne peuvent pas anticiper." }, { "role": "Superviseur systèmes de surveillance & technologies IA policières", "explanation_fr": "Coface Phase 2 : workers deviennent 'superviseurs de points de validation'. Valider les alertes IA, décider des interventions, maintenir la responsabilité légale que l'IA ne peut pas endosser." }, { "role": "Spécialiste médiation & relations communautaires", "explanation_fr": "Coface : les tâches matter→person (présence physique, autorité, calme) restent très protégées. La confiance, l'autorité et l'empathie dans les situations de tension restent irremplaçables." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "INHESJ · IA sécurité intérieure", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Cahiers de la Sécurité · algorithmes", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Autor · non-routine manual enforcement", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Musicien", "np_domain": "L", "np_domain_label": "Spectacle & arts vivants", "fap_code": "L0Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5200, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 3.0, "exposure_score_avg": 2.9, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Créateur d'expériences musicales incarnées & performer", "explanation_fr": "Coface matrice : matter→person (présence physique, expérience sensorielle) = protection significative. La performance live, le contact humain, l'improvisation contextuelle restent hors portée de l'IA agentique." }, { "role": "Directeur artistique & curateur d'identité sonore", "explanation_fr": "Coface : les tâches 'influencing' (person→person) ont une exposition moyenne — mais le jugement esthétique humain et la direction créative reste une compétence unmachineable (Coface confirme ITDF)." }, { "role": "Pédagogue musical & formateur à la créativité humaine", "explanation_fr": "Coface Phase 2 : les tâches d'enseignement et de care ont une exposition intermédiaire mais restent protégées par la dimension relationnelle. Enseigner la musique = transmettre une culture, pas seulement des techniques." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Ferraro et al. · creative AI & musicians", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "IRMA · IA et musiciens France", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Télérama · Suno, Udio et musiciens", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 1.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "Imas · U. Chicago · secteur relationnel 2026 (humain = produit)", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Comptable", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M1Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 8000, "headcount_ch_2024": 45000, "exposure_score_primary": 8.8, "exposure_score_avg": 8.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert révision & jugement professionnel", "explanation_fr": "ITDF 2026 : discernement des cas ambigus et interprétation des réglementations complexes restent des compétences unmachineables centrales en comptabilité." }, { "role": "Conseiller financier & partenaire stratégique", "explanation_fr": "Passer du traitement de données au conseil — dimension 'service' expert (ITDF) centré sur la relation, la confiance et la vision d'ensemble." }, { "role": "Superviseur IA comptable & garant de conformité", "explanation_fr": "Valider les sorties des IA de comptabilité automatisée, garantir la qualité et la conformité légale — rôle humain indispensable." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "SSRN 5039640 · AI & accounting", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou · financial tasks LLMs", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "PwC · comptabilité & IA France", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "L'Expert-Comptable · IA cabinet", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.8, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Accountants top exposed (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Juriste droit social", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 7.8, "exposure_score_avg": 7.7, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert régulation IA (AI Act UE)", "explanation_fr": "Conformité cadre européen IA · demande urgente." }, { "role": "Avocat droit travail algorithmes & gig", "explanation_fr": "Travailleurs algorithmiques, requalification." }, { "role": "DPO délégué protection données", "explanation_fr": "RGPD, violations, privacy by design." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou · legal tasks LLMs", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Noy & Zhang · legal writing", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · legal automation", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.8, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Lawyers highly exposed (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Analyste financier", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M1Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 11000, "headcount_ch_2024": 15000, "exposure_score_primary": 8.0, "exposure_score_avg": 8.6, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Orchestrateur d'agents financiers & superviseur", "explanation_fr": "MGI 2025 : archétype Agent-centric (30% main-d'oeuvre). L'humain dirige, valide, gère les exceptions. 2 900 Md$ valeur débloquée = montée en gamme possible." }, { "role": "Expert jugement & cas financiers hors-modèle", "explanation_fr": "MGI Skill Change Index : judgment et interprétation dans le quartile médian (évoluent, ne disparaissent pas). Géopolitique, black swans, crises systémiques restent humains." }, { "role": "Conseiller patrimonial high-touch People-agent", "explanation_fr": "MGI archétype People-agent ($74K avg) : les specialists financial advisory relationnels sont dans le quadrant le plus protégé de la transformation IA." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · financial analysis", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Lopez-Lira & Tang · ChatGPT & markets", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Bloomberg Intelligence · IA finance", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Les Échos · IA et analystes", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Financial analysts 57.2% observed (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "DRH", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M1Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 12000, "headcount_ch_2024": 9000, "exposure_score_primary": 6.8, "exposure_score_avg": 6.5, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Architecte de la résilience organisationnelle", "explanation_fr": "ITDF 2026 : préparer les organisations à l'ère IA — upskilling, gestion du changement, nouvelles formes d'emploi (care/service/experience)." }, { "role": "Expert compétences unmachineables & talent", "explanation_fr": "Identifier et cultiver jugement, empathie, éthique, créativité — compétences que les 386 experts ITDF jugent irremplaçables dans chaque organisation." }, { "role": "Médiateur & gardien de la culture humaine", "explanation_fr": "Les tensions humain-IA vont s'intensifier. Le DRH comme protecteur du lien humain en entreprise et médiateur de sens — rôle stratégique." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Autor · managers & routines", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Gartner · HR automation", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "RH Info · IA et DRH France", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.8, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Business & finance observed exposure (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "UX designer", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M1Z60", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 6.5, "exposure_score_avg": 6.6, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Designer expériences humain-IA & orchestrateur créatif", "explanation_fr": "MGI SCI : imagination et jugement esthétique = quartile bas (endure). Diriger les agents génératifs vers des résultats humainement pertinents, détecter les dérives algorithmiques." }, { "role": "Spécialiste inclusion & confiance humain-technologie", "explanation_fr": "MGI archétype People-centric : 34% de la main-d'oeuvre dans des rôles humains. L'UX inclusif et le design de confiance humain-IA sont des niches protégées." }, { "role": "Chercheur utilisateurs & évaluateur d'agents IA", "explanation_fr": "MGI : émergence de rôles 'AI evaluation writers' et 'human in the loop validators'. L'UX researcher valide que les agents servent vraiment les besoins humains." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Dell'Acqua et al. · creative AI tasks", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Nielsen Norman Group · AI UX", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Figma · IA et designers", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Arts & media observed exposure (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Contrôleur de gestion", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M1Z25", "median_salary_chf_month": 10000, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 7.5, "exposure_score_avg": 7.6, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Analyste stratégique & interprète des projections IA", "explanation_fr": "MGI SCI : comptabilité de routine = top quartile (forte exposition). Le contrôleur migre vers l'interprétation, la stratégie et le jugement sur les anomalies que les agents signalent." }, { "role": "Expert audit & validation des modèles financiers", "explanation_fr": "MGI : 'detail orientation' dans les 8 high-prevalence skills (SCI bas). Auditer les sorties agents financiers et valider leur cohérence = rôle humain indispensable." }, { "role": "Business partner & conseiller des directions", "explanation_fr": "MGI archétype People-agent ($74K avg) : le contrôleur repositionné comme partenaire stratégique des directions, concentré sur le conseil et la prise de décision." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou · financial reporting", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "DFCG · IA et contrôle de gestion", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Décideurs · contrôleurs & IA", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Business & finance category (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "OpenAI · AI Jobs Transition Framework · analyse financière routinière = forte exposition", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Chef de projet IT", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M1Z70", "median_salary_chf_month": 10500, "headcount_ch_2024": 22000, "exposure_score_primary": 7.2, "exposure_score_avg": 6.5, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Orchestrateur systèmes humain-agent & AI product manager", "explanation_fr": "MGI 2025 (cas réel, banque régionale) : les développeurs dirigent 15 à 20 agents par jour. Le chef de projet coordonne les pipelines IA, non plus des tâches humaines isolées." }, { "role": "Expert workflows IA & agent product manager", "explanation_fr": "MGI : émergence du rôle 'agent product manager'. Le chef de projet qui maîtrise la conception de workflows multi-agents devient très demandé dans tous les secteurs." }, { "role": "Responsable gouvernance & qualité des systèmes IA", "explanation_fr": "MGI : oversight et quality control restent humains. Superviser l'intégrité des agents en production, garantir la conformité — rôle réglementairement exigé." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Autor · project management & AI", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Gartner · AI in project management", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "CIO · IA et chefs de projet", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.2, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Software QA analysts 51.9% observed (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Chauffeur routier", "np_domain": "N", "np_domain_label": "Transport & logistique", "fap_code": "N4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5800, "headcount_ch_2024": 42000, "exposure_score_primary": 4.0, "exposure_score_avg": 4.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Coordinateur logistique & TMS connecté", "explanation_fr": "Optimisation tournées, gestion anomalies." }, { "role": "Expert transport froid & matières dangereuses", "explanation_fr": "Niche réglementée à forte valeur." }, { "role": "Technicien VE poids lourds", "explanation_fr": "Nouvelles motorisations · forte pénurie." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Frey & Osborne update · autonomous trucks", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "France Stratégie · autonomie transport", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Transportinfo · IA chauffeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Logisticien", "np_domain": "N", "np_domain_label": "Transport & logistique", "fap_code": "N4Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 6800, "headcount_ch_2024": 28000, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 6.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable supply chain résiliente", "explanation_fr": "Gestion risques, relocalisation, crise." }, { "role": "Expert logistique verte & économie circulaire", "explanation_fr": "Reverse logistics, carbone transport." }, { "role": "Planificateur S&OP & demand sensing IA", "explanation_fr": "Planification avancée APS, signaux externes." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Autor · logistics & AI", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · supply chain IA", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Supply Chain Magazine · IA", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Pilote de ligne", "np_domain": "N", "np_domain_label": "Transport & logistique", "fap_code": "N3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 12000, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 3.0, "exposure_score_avg": 3.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Instructeur simulation & CRM", "explanation_fr": "Formation sur simulateurs certifiés EASA." }, { "role": "Pilote drones commerciaux BVLOS", "explanation_fr": "Infrastructure, inspection, livraison." }, { "role": "Expert opérations aériennes & navigabilité", "explanation_fr": "Conformité EASA, gestion risques techniques." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Autor · aviation & automation", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "EASA · IA cockpit", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "L'Avion · IA et pilotes", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Avocat", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M2Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 12000, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 8.0, "exposure_score_avg": 7.8, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert juridique hors-norme & défenseur face aux agents IA", "explanation_fr": "Coface 2026 : droit & comptabilité = 27% tâches exposées en Suisse. La valeur humaine : défendre les cas edge, contester les décisions algorithmiques, gérer l'ambiguité légale que l'IA ne peut pas résoudre." }, { "role": "Spécialiste droit de l'IA & gouvernance algorithmique", "explanation_fr": "Coface identifie le droit comme secteur à fort risque data→data. Mais l'interprétation, la stratégie et la relation client restent humaines. AI Act, FINMA, FADP : nouvelle demande en explosion." }, { "role": "Médiateur & arbitre de conflits complexes humain-IA", "explanation_fr": "Coface Phase 2 : les travailleurs deviennent 'superviseurs de points de validation'. L'avocat supervise les agents juridiques, valide leurs analyses, gère les exceptions que le modèle ne peut traiter." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. — legal tasks LLM exposure (NBER 2023)", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Noy & Zhang MIT — legal writing tasks automated", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey — legal automation 2024", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory — lawyers highly exposed (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Étude LexisNexis — IA et avocats France 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Village Justice — LegalTech et avocats France 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Notaire", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M2Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 11000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 6.2, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Notaire expert en droit de la confiance & authenticité", "explanation_fr": "Coface 2026 : droit = 27% exposition. La force exécutoire des actes authentiques et la responsabilité personnelle du notaire restent des protections légales irremplaçables par l'IA." }, { "role": "Conseiller succession & patrimoine complexe", "explanation_fr": "Coface identifie les cas de 'high stakes, irreversible consequences' comme ceux où l'IA reste pénalisée (real-world consequences + regulatory issues). Succession, donation, divorce = exactement ces cas." }, { "role": "Expert digitalisation notariale & e-Notariat", "explanation_fr": "Piloter l'intégration des agents IA dans les études notariales, concevoir les workflows hybrides humain-agent, garantir la conformité — rôle de superviseur de Phase 2 (Coface)." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. — document drafting & authentication tasks LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie — professions juridiques réglementées & IA", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "CSN — rapport IA et notariat 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Village Justice — LegalTech & offices notariaux 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Magistrat", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M2Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 13000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2000, "exposure_score_primary": 4.0, "exposure_score_avg": 4.2, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Juge spécialisé droit du numérique & IA", "explanation_fr": "Tribunal judiciaire Paris — chambre IA, droit des algorithmes." }, { "role": "Expert auprès des juridictions en matière d'IA", "explanation_fr": "Assesseur technique dans les litiges algorithmiques et deepfakes." }, { "role": "Formateur ENM — éthique IA & justice prédictive", "explanation_fr": "Formation initiale et continue des magistrats aux outils IA." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. — judicial decision tasks LLM exposure", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie — IA et professions judiciaires", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Commission EU — AI Act & justice algorithms", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Dalloz — IA et aide à la décision judiciaire France 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Juriste d'entreprise", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M2Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 10500, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 7.0, "exposure_score_avg": 7.2, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chief Legal Officer IA (CLO numérique)", "explanation_fr": "Pilotage juridique des projets IA, conformité AI Act, gouvernance." }, { "role": "Juriste spécialisé RGPD & cybersécurité", "explanation_fr": "DPO externalisé, audit conformité, violation de données." }, { "role": "Contract manager IA-assisté", "explanation_fr": "Gestion de portefeuilles contractuels avec outils LLM." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. — in-house counsel tasks LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey — corporate legal automation 2024", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "EY LLP — AI in legal departments survey 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Les Échos — IA et directions juridiques France 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Enseignant-chercheur", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "K6Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 11500, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 5.0, "exposure_score_avg": 5.8, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chercheur en IA & éthique algorithmique", "explanation_fr": "Recherche fondamentale IA, biais, explicabilité — forte demande." }, { "role": "Directeur de programme executive & formation continue", "explanation_fr": "MBA, mastères spécialisés — marché de la formation pro en croissance." }, { "role": "Expert éducation ouverte & MOOCs avancés", "explanation_fr": "Coursera, edX — monétisation de l'expertise pédagogique." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. — knowledge work tasks LLM exposure", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "OCDE — IA et recherche académique 2024", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Nature — LLMs & scientific discovery 2025", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "MESR — rapport IA dans l'enseignement supérieur 2023", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Le Monde Université — IA et enseignement supérieur 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Psychologue en orientation CDIP", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "K6Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 4.0, "exposure_score_avg": 4.5, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Psychologue scolaire spécialisé neurodiversité", "explanation_fr": "TSA, TDAH, dys — rôle pivot en forte demande avec la loi handicap." }, { "role": "Conseiller en évolution professionnelle (CEP)", "explanation_fr": "Transitions pro, VAE, bilan de compétences — marché en expansion." }, { "role": "Expert bien-être scolaire & climat éducatif", "explanation_fr": "Prévention décrochage, harcèlement — missions élargies depuis 2024." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Autor — social service work & human interaction tasks", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "OCDE — IA et orientation scolaire & professionnelle", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "L'Etudiant — IA et orientation scolaire France 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 4, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "ONISEP — baromètre orientation & IA 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Psychologue clinicien", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J8Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8000, "headcount_ch_2024": 22000, "exposure_score_primary": 3.0, "exposure_score_avg": 3.4, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Thérapeute & gardien de l'intériorité humaine", "explanation_fr": "ITDF 2026 : face à la perte de sens et d'agence, le psychologue est un acteur clé de la résilience. Dimension 'care' par excellence." }, { "role": "Expert résilience digitale & santé mentale IA", "explanation_fr": "Nouvelle spécialité émergente : accompagner les humains face à l'anxiété IA, la perte d'identité professionnelle, la dépendance aux agents virtuels (ITDF)." }, { "role": "Chercheur impacts cognitifs de l'IA", "explanation_fr": "Étudier les effets de l'IA sur raisonnement, empathie, perception de soi — champ de recherche critique identifié par ITDF comme prioritaire." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Autor — emotional labor & therapeutic relationship non-automatable", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "OCDE — IA et santé mentale, limites éthiques 2024", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "HAS France — encadrement IA en psychologie clinique 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Le Monde — chatbots thérapeutiques et psychologues France 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Nature Medicine — LLMs & psychotherapy clinical limits 2025", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Physiothérapeute", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J6Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 8000, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 3.0, "exposure_score_avg": 3.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Kiné spécialisé neurologie & rééducation post-AVC", "explanation_fr": "Rééducation neurologique — forte demande avec le vieillissement de la population." }, { "role": "Expert téléréhabilitation & wearables", "explanation_fr": "Suivi à distance via capteurs et applications de rééducation guidée par IA." }, { "role": "Formateur biomécanique & prévention TMS", "explanation_fr": "Ateliers entreprise sur prévention des troubles musculosquelettiques." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Autor — physical therapeutic interaction & tactile skills", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "HAS — rééducation, IA et actes manuels 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "OCDE — care workers & automation barriers", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Kinésithérapie La Revue — exosquelettes et IA rehab 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Sage-femme", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J2Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 5500, "exposure_score_primary": 3.0, "exposure_score_avg": 3.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Sage-femme spécialisée santé mentale périnatale", "explanation_fr": "Dépression post-partum, suivi psychologique — rôle élargi depuis 2023." }, { "role": "Expert télésurveillance grossesse à risque", "explanation_fr": "Monitoring connecté à domicile — forte croissance post-Covid." }, { "role": "Coordinatrice réseau périnatal & HAD", "explanation_fr": "Parcours complexes, lien ville-hôpital, prématurité — coordination critique." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "The Lancet — midwifery clinical judgment non-automatable", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "WHO — digital health & midwives 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Sages-femmes.net — IA et surveillance foetale France 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Vétérinaire", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J0Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 4.0, "exposure_score_avg": 4.2, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Vétérinaire spécialisé médecine d'urgence & soins intensifs", "explanation_fr": "CHUV, cliniques 24h — niche à forte valeur, pénurie de profils formés." }, { "role": "Expert santé animale & sécurité sanitaire alimentaire", "explanation_fr": "Contrôle vétérinaire officiel en abattoirs — secteur réglementé stable." }, { "role": "Consultant One Health & épidémiologie", "explanation_fr": "Interface santé humaine/animale/environnementale — montée en puissance." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. — veterinary diagnostic tasks LLM exposure", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "OCDE — automatisation professions libérales de santé 2024", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "La Semaine Vétérinaire — IA en diagnostic animal France 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 4, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "ONVS — rapport IA & pratique vétérinaire 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Community manager", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D4Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 6200, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 8.0, "exposure_score_avg": 8.6, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Stratégiste contenu & brand voice", "explanation_fr": "Supervision créative des IA génératives, cohérence identité de marque durable." }, { "role": "Expert influence & social commerce", "explanation_fr": "TikTok Shop, live shopping, social selling — marché en forte croissance." }, { "role": "Responsable réputation & gestion de crise digitale", "explanation_fr": "Veille, modération avancée, réponse aux crises — valeur humaine critique." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. — social media & content generation LLM exposure", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "Noy & Zhang MIT — writing & content tasks automated by LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey — marketing content automation 2024", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory — customer service 70.1% observed (Anthropic 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Journal du Net — IA et community managers France 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Consultant en management", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M3Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 12000, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 7.0, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Architecte transformation humain-IA & workflow designer", "explanation_fr": "MGI 2025 : les gains les plus importants viennent de la refonte de workflows entiers (non de tâches isolées). Le consultant redesigne les processus autour des 7 archétypes MGI." }, { "role": "Change manager & orchestrateur d'équipes hybrides", "explanation_fr": "MGI : 'management' et 'leadership' = SCI bas (endure). Aligner les parties prenantes, former les équipes humain-agent, mesurer la valeur créée ensemble." }, { "role": "Expert skill partnerships & stratégie reskilling", "explanation_fr": "MGI : 75% des gains IA nécessitent de la réorganisation humaine. Concevoir les programmes de transition autour du Skill Change Index = rôle-clé de conseil." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. — knowledge worker & strategy tasks LLM exposure", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey — management consulting automation 2024", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "BCG — AI & consultants internal study 2024", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Les Échos — IA et cabinets de conseil en France 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Mécanicien automobile", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I0Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 6200, "headcount_ch_2024": 28000, "exposure_score_primary": 3.0, "exposure_score_avg": 3.5, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Technicien véhicules électriques & haute tension", "explanation_fr": "Réparation HV, remplacement packs batteries — pénurie structurelle." }, { "role": "Spécialiste diagnostic ADAS & électronique embarquée", "explanation_fr": "Calibration caméras, radars, capteurs — nouveau métier en forte croissance." }, { "role": "Technicien après-vente connecté & mises à jour OTA", "explanation_fr": "Logiciels embarqués, télégnostic constructeurs — transition numérique auto." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2022, "citation": "Frey & Osborne — skilled manual repairs non-automatable", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "ANFA — rapport formation automotive & numérisation 2023", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "L'Argus Pro — IA et diagnostic auto France 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "INA/FCBA — transition VE et compétences garagistes 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Coiffeur·euse CFC", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G0Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 4500, "headcount_ch_2024": 22000, "exposure_score_primary": 1.0, "exposure_score_avg": 1.4, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Barbier & coiffeur-styliste premium", "explanation_fr": "Montée en gamme, expérience client différenciante — positionnement anti-commodité." }, { "role": "Expert coloration & soins capillaires spécialisés", "explanation_fr": "Kératinisation, traitements cuir chevelu avancés — niche à haute valeur." }, { "role": "Formateur métiers de la beauté & école spécialisée", "explanation_fr": "Formation initiale et continue, certifications professionnelles." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 1.0, "year": 2022, "citation": "Frey & Osborne — personal appearance services, manual & relational", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 1.0, "year": 2023, "citation": "OCDE — services de contact physique non-automatisables", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 2.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "L'Officiel des Coiffeurs — IA et essayage virtuel 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 1.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "Imas · U. Chicago · secteur relationnel 2026 (humain = produit)", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Assistante de direction BF · executive assistant", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "3343", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 22000, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 6.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Journaliste data & fact-checker IA", "explanation_fr": "Maîtriser les outils de vérification automatisée (deepfake, sources) · CAS Data Journalism HES-SO." }, { "role": "Présentateur·trice multiplateforme & podcast", "explanation_fr": "Développer une audience propre sur YouTube/Spotify en complément du linéaire · formation MAZ." }, { "role": "Responsable éditorial IA & médias (RTSR/SRG)", "explanation_fr": "Superviser l'intégration IA dans les rédactions · Master journalisme UNIL." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "MAZ Lucerne · journaliste plateau et IA 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "RTSR · impact IA sur les présentateurs TV", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · News anchors 55.2% observed (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Employé·e de commerce CFC · assistant·e administratif·ve", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "4120", "median_salary_chf_month": 6200, "headcount_ch_2024": 52000, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 6.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Journaliste data & fact-checker IA", "explanation_fr": "Maîtriser les outils de vérification automatisée (deepfake, sources) · CAS Data Journalism HES-SO." }, { "role": "Présentateur·trice multiplateforme & podcast", "explanation_fr": "Développer une audience propre sur YouTube/Spotify en complément du linéaire · formation MAZ." }, { "role": "Responsable éditorial IA & médias (RTSR/SRG)", "explanation_fr": "Superviser l'intégration IA dans les rédactions · Master journalisme UNIL." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "MAZ Lucerne · journaliste plateau et IA 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "RTSR · impact IA sur les présentateurs TV", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · News anchors 55.2% observed (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Secrétaire médical·e · assistant·e médical·e CFC", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "3252", "median_salary_chf_month": 5800, "headcount_ch_2024": 14000, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 6.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Journaliste data & fact-checker IA", "explanation_fr": "Maîtriser les outils de vérification automatisée (deepfake, sources) · CAS Data Journalism HES-SO." }, { "role": "Présentateur·trice multiplateforme & podcast", "explanation_fr": "Développer une audience propre sur YouTube/Spotify en complément du linéaire · formation MAZ." }, { "role": "Responsable éditorial IA & médias (RTSR/SRG)", "explanation_fr": "Superviser l'intégration IA dans les rédactions · Master journalisme UNIL." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "MAZ Lucerne · journaliste plateau et IA 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "RTSR · impact IA sur les présentateurs TV", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · News anchors 55.2% observed (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Présentateur·trice TV / journaliste plateau", "np_domain": "O", "np_domain_label": "Audiovisuel & contenus numériques", "fap_code": "2641", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 6.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Journaliste data & fact-checker IA", "explanation_fr": "Maîtriser les outils de vérification automatisée (deepfake, sources) · CAS Data Journalism HES-SO." }, { "role": "Présentateur·trice multiplateforme & podcast", "explanation_fr": "Développer une audience propre sur YouTube/Spotify en complément du linéaire · formation MAZ." }, { "role": "Responsable éditorial IA & médias (RTSR/SRG)", "explanation_fr": "Superviser l'intégration IA dans les rédactions · Master journalisme UNIL." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "MAZ Lucerne · journaliste plateau et IA 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "RTSR · impact IA sur les présentateurs TV", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · News anchors 55.2% observed (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Réalisateur·trice / chef·fe de projet audiovisuel", "np_domain": "O", "np_domain_label": "Audiovisuel & contenus numériques", "fap_code": "2654", "median_salary_chf_month": 8000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2000, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 5.5, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Superviseur·e effets visuels & IA générative", "explanation_fr": "DALL-E, Runway, Sora pour les productions · ECAL Lausanne · ZHdK Zurich." }, { "role": "Chef·fe de projet production multimédia", "explanation_fr": "Piloter des équipes mixtes humains-IA pour le contenu numérique." }, { "role": "Formateur·trice création audiovisuelle (HES)", "explanation_fr": "Enseigner les nouveaux outils génératifs · HES-SO Art & Design." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "SSA · IA et droits des réalisateurs suisses 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Film directors 52.1% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Monteur·euse vidéo / motion designer", "np_domain": "O", "np_domain_label": "Audiovisuel & contenus numériques", "fap_code": "2655", "median_salary_chf_month": 7500, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 8.0, "exposure_score_avg": 8.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Spécialiste motion design IA & branding", "explanation_fr": "After Effects + outils IA génératifs pour les agences suisses · ECAL / ZHdK." }, { "role": "Directeur·trice artistique contenu digital", "explanation_fr": "Créer des stratégies de contenu vidéo pour les PME suisses." }, { "role": "Coloriste & superviseur·e post-production", "explanation_fr": "Rôle de supervision IA avec expertise technique pointue." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Adobe · IA Premiere Pro adoption 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Video editors 68.3% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Community manager / social media manager", "np_domain": "O", "np_domain_label": "Audiovisuel & contenus numériques", "fap_code": "2642", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 9.0, "exposure_score_avg": 9.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Stratège contenu IA & social media lead", "explanation_fr": "Piloter une stratégie multicanal avec outils IA · CAS Social Media IAB Switzerland." }, { "role": "Responsable marketing automation & CRM", "explanation_fr": "HubSpot, Salesforce, IA personnalisation · très demandé dans les PME suisses." }, { "role": "Community manager spécialisé B2B CH", "explanation_fr": "LinkedIn expert pour les entreprises industrielles et financières suisses." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · social media content GPT-4 β=1.0", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Social media 79.4% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Photographe de presse / photojournaliste", "np_domain": "O", "np_domain_label": "Audiovisuel & contenus numériques", "fap_code": "2651", "median_salary_chf_month": 6200, "headcount_ch_2024": 1800, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 6.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Photographe spécialisé·e industrie & corporate CH", "explanation_fr": "Secteurs horlogerie, pharma, finance · forte demande en Suisse alémanique." }, { "role": "Directeur·trice photo & brand content", "explanation_fr": "Superviser la stratégie visuelle d'une marque suisse · CAS Communication HES." }, { "role": "Expert·e droits image & IA (SUISSIMAGE)", "explanation_fr": "Conseil juridique sur les droits d'auteur à l'ère de l'IA générative." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "SUISSIMAGE · droits image et IA en Suisse 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Photographers 56.8% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Producteur·trice de podcast / audio digital", "np_domain": "O", "np_domain_label": "Audiovisuel & contenus numériques", "fap_code": "2642", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 1200, "exposure_score_primary": 7.0, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable stratégie audio & podcast B2B", "explanation_fr": "Podcasts corporate pour les banques, pharma, institutions suisses." }, { "role": "Sound designer IA & expériences immersives", "explanation_fr": "Audio 3D, spatial audio, IA musicale · HEMU / HKB Bern." }, { "role": "Producteur·trice audio pour plateformes (SRG)", "explanation_fr": "Intégrer les nouvelles technologies vocales à la production SRG/SSR." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "SUISA · IA et production audio Suisse 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Audio producers 63.5% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Directeur·trice communication / CMO", "np_domain": "O", "np_domain_label": "Audiovisuel & contenus numériques", "fap_code": "1221", "median_salary_chf_month": 14000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 6.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chief Digital Officer (CDO) / transformation IA", "explanation_fr": "Piloter la transformation numérique d'une entreprise suisse · MAS Management HES." }, { "role": "Directeur·trice relations publiques & corporate affairs", "explanation_fr": "Communication institutionnelle, lobbying cantonal/fédéral · SPRI Berne." }, { "role": "Consultant·e indépendant·e IA & communication", "explanation_fr": "Conseil aux PME et ONG suisses sur l'intégration éthique de l'IA." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "SPRI Suisse · IA et directeurs communication 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Marketing directors 58.1% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Magistrat·e du Ministère public / procureur·e", "np_domain": "P", "np_domain_label": "Justice & sécurité publique spécialisée", "fap_code": "2611", "median_salary_chf_month": 14000, "headcount_ch_2024": 1200, "exposure_score_primary": 3.0, "exposure_score_avg": 3.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Spécialiste criminalité numérique & cyberdroit", "explanation_fr": "NPOC Neuchâtel · Certificate in Digital Forensics · fedpol." }, { "role": "Responsable conformité IA & droit pénal (Bund)", "explanation_fr": "Conseil fédéral · réglementation IA Act et droit pénal suisse." }, { "role": "Formateur·trice magistrature & IA (JUDICIAL)", "explanation_fr": "Former les magistrats à l'utilisation éthique des outils IA." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "JUDICIAL Suisse · IA et magistrature 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Prosecutors 28.4% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Greffier·ère tribunal / juriste judiciaire", "np_domain": "P", "np_domain_label": "Justice & sécurité publique spécialisée", "fap_code": "3411", "median_salary_chf_month": 7500, "headcount_ch_2024": 2000, "exposure_score_primary": 7.0, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Spécialiste gestion documentaire juridique & IA", "explanation_fr": "Systèmes de gestion électronique des dossiers judiciaires · BF Assistant juridique GBC." }, { "role": "Juriste d'entreprise junior (in-house)", "explanation_fr": "Transition vers le droit privé · Master droit + CAS Compliance UNIGE." }, { "role": "Expert·e legaltech & transformation judiciaire", "explanation_fr": "Numérisation des tribunaux suisses · Justice 4.0." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "GBC Suisse · IA et greffiers 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Court clerks 64.2% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Expert·e forensique / criminalistique", "np_domain": "P", "np_domain_label": "Justice & sécurité publique spécialisée", "fap_code": "2632", "median_salary_chf_month": 9000, "headcount_ch_2024": 800, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 6.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Analyste OSINT & investigations numériques", "explanation_fr": "Renseignement numérique en sources ouvertes · fedpol / police cantonale." }, { "role": "Expert·e biométrie & IA forensique (SWISSKRIM)", "explanation_fr": "Systèmes de reconnaissance biométrique · ISKW Lausanne." }, { "role": "Responsable sécurité & cyber-investigations", "explanation_fr": "Fusion forensique classique et cybercriminalité · HEIG-VD CAS Cybersécurité." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "fedpol · IA en criminalistique suisse 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Forensic scientists 55.3% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Avocat·e pénaliste / défenseur·euse d'office", "np_domain": "P", "np_domain_label": "Justice & sécurité publique spécialisée", "fap_code": "2611", "median_salary_chf_month": 10000, "headcount_ch_2024": 1800, "exposure_score_primary": 7.0, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Spécialiste droit numérique & cybercriminalité", "explanation_fr": "CAS Cyberdroit UNIL · BF Compliance · DAS Droit numérique UNIGE." }, { "role": "Médiateur·trice pénal·e / justice restaurative", "explanation_fr": "Alternative à la justice traditionnelle · CAS Médiation HES-SO / SAB." }, { "role": "Compliance officer (pénal des affaires)", "explanation_fr": "Fusion droit pénal + conformité · très demandé secteur bancaire CH." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "SAV/FSA · IA et barreau pénal suisse 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Criminal lawyers 61.8% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Agent·e de probation / assistant·e social·e judiciaire", "np_domain": "P", "np_domain_label": "Justice & sécurité publique spécialisée", "fap_code": "2635", "median_salary_chf_month": 6800, "headcount_ch_2024": 1200, "exposure_score_primary": 3.0, "exposure_score_avg": 3.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable réinsertion professionnelle & formation", "explanation_fr": "Accompagnement vers l'emploi des personnes judiciarisées · AvenirSocial." }, { "role": "Coordinateur·trice inter-institutionnel·le (justice-social-santé)", "explanation_fr": "Réseaux intégrés de prise en charge · Master Travail social HES-SO." }, { "role": "Formateur·trice FSEA en milieu pénitentiaire", "explanation_fr": "Enseignement et formation continue en prison · FSEA Berne." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "AvenirSocial · IA et travail social judiciaire", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Probation officers 31.5% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Juriste · conseiller·ère juridique", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "2611", "median_salary_chf_month": 10000, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 7.0, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "LegalTech Specialist & IA juridique", "explanation_fr": "CAS LegalTech UNIGE · outils Harvey AI, Lexis+ AI pour le marché suisse." }, { "role": "Data Protection Officer (DPO) nLPD/RGPD", "explanation_fr": "Conformité nLPD 2023 · certification CIPP/E · très demandé en Suisse." }, { "role": "Juriste en droit de l'IA & régulation numérique", "explanation_fr": "AI Act européen + cadre suisse · Cabinet conseil spécialisé." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "SAV/FSA · juristes d'entreprise et IA 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Legal advisors 66.1% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Avocat·e · conseil juridique", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "2611", "median_salary_chf_month": 11000, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 9.0, "exposure_score_avg": 8.5, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Spécialiste droit numérique & AI Act (UNIGE/UNIL)", "explanation_fr": "CAS LegalTech Uni Genève · DAS Droit numérique UNIL · Compliance IA." }, { "role": "Avocat·e d'affaires fintech & place financière CH", "explanation_fr": "Fusion droit financier + IA · très demandé sur la place genevoise et zurichoise." }, { "role": "Juriste d'entreprise in-house (Chief Legal Officer)", "explanation_fr": "Transition vers le conseil stratégique C-level · Master droit + MBA HEC." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "SAV/FSA · IA et avocats suisses 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Lawyers 72.8% observed (Anthropic EconIndex 2026)", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Magistrat·e · juge", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "2612", "median_salary_chf_month": 14000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2000, "exposure_score_primary": 3.0, "exposure_score_avg": 3.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Juge spécialisé·e droit numérique & IA", "explanation_fr": "Chambre numérique au TF · formation JUDICIAL + CAS Droit numérique." }, { "role": "Médiateur·trice judiciaire (SSSA)", "explanation_fr": "Alternative aux procédures longues · CAS Médiation HES-SO Fribourg." }, { "role": "Arbitre commercial international (TAS/CCI Genève)", "explanation_fr": "Arbitrage international · formation LLM Arbitrage Unige/UNIL." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "JUDICIAL Suisse · IA et justice 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 3.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Judges 29.1% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Juriste d'entreprise · legal counsel (in-house)", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "2611", "median_salary_chf_month": 11500, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 8.0, "exposure_score_avg": 8.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chief Compliance Officer (CCO) nLPD & AI Act", "explanation_fr": "Direction conformité · Certified Compliance Professional · IFJ Suisse." }, { "role": "General Counsel / CLO à impact (B Corp, OI)", "explanation_fr": "Droit des organisations à mission · Genève internationale." }, { "role": "Spécialiste IP & brevets technologiques", "explanation_fr": "Droit de la propriété intellectuelle + IA · IGE/IPI Berne." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "IFJ Suisse · IA et juristes in-house 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · In-house counsel 70.5% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Enseignant·e primaire · instituteur·trice", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "2341", "median_salary_chf_month": 8800, "headcount_ch_2024": 55000, "exposure_score_primary": 5.0, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Enseignant·e numérique & IA pedagogue (HEP)", "explanation_fr": "CAS technologies numériques & IA HEP Vaud · formation continue certifiante." }, { "role": "Formateur·trice d'adultes BF (FSEA)", "explanation_fr": "Reconversion vers la formation continue · BF Formateur d'adultes FSEA Berne." }, { "role": "Coordinateur·trice pédagogique & inclusion numérique", "explanation_fr": "Services cantonaux éducation · Master Sciences de l'éducation UNIL." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "OCDE · IA en éducation 2024 — Gradient 2", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "Gmyrek et al. ILO WP140 · ISCO 2341 score moyen 0.26", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Primary teachers 44.8% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Enseignant·e secondaire · professeur·e gymnase", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "2330", "median_salary_chf_month": 9800, "headcount_ch_2024": 42000, "exposure_score_primary": 5.0, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Formateur·trice HEP & didactique numérique", "explanation_fr": "Master Didactique UNIL/HEP · spécialiste intégration IA en classe." }, { "role": "Conseiller·ère pédagogique cantonal·e", "explanation_fr": "Services cantonaux · CAS Pédagogie & Leadership éducatif HEP." }, { "role": "Chargé·e de cours HES / formateur·trice en entreprise", "explanation_fr": "Transition vers la formation tertiaire · FSEA + Master pro." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "OCDE · IA et enseignants secondaires 2024", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Secondary teachers 47.2% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Enseignant-chercheur (EPF/Uni/HES)", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "2310", "median_salary_chf_month": 12500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 4.0, "exposure_score_avg": 4.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur·trice recherche IA appliquée (EPFL/ETHZ)", "explanation_fr": "Transition vers la recherche fondamentale en IA · Swiss AI Initiative." }, { "role": "Technology Transfer Officer (TTO)", "explanation_fr": "Valorisation de la recherche suisse · Innovaud · Switzerland Innovation." }, { "role": "Expert·e FNS / évaluateur·trice projets IA", "explanation_fr": "Évaluation de projets de recherche · FNS Berne · mandats d'expertise." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "FNS · IA et recherche académique suisse 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Professors & researchers 41.5% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Conseiller d'orientation professionnelle", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "2423", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 6.0, "exposure_score_avg": 5.7, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Conseiller ORP & réinsertion (SECO)", "explanation_fr": "Accompagnement chômeurs vers les métiers en transition · SECO Berne." }, { "role": "Expert·e orientation IA (CSFO)", "explanation_fr": "Développer les outils d'orientation intégrant l'IA · CSFO Berne." }, { "role": "Coach carrière indépendant·e (LinkedIn/HRSE)", "explanation_fr": "Coaching professionnel digital · certification ICF · réseau HR Swiss." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "CSFO · IA et orientation scolaire CH 2024", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "orientation.ch · IA et conseil professionnel", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 6.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Career counselors 56.8% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Maître·sse d'apprentissage · formateur·trice en entreprise", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "2351", "median_salary_chf_month": 7500, "headcount_ch_2024": 28000, "exposure_score_primary": 4.0, "exposure_score_avg": 4.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable formation duale & qualifications SEFRI", "explanation_fr": "Moderniser les plans de formation CFC · SEFRI Berne · IFFP Lausanne." }, { "role": "Formateur·trice FSEA & digital learning designer", "explanation_fr": "BF Formateur d'adultes + CAS Digital Learning HES-SO." }, { "role": "Coach apprentissage & orientation (15-19 ans)", "explanation_fr": "Accompagnement des jeunes en difficultés scolaires ou d'insertion." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2024, "citation": "SEFRI · IA et formation professionnelle duale CH", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2025, "citation": "ORP · formateurs en entreprise face à l'IA 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 4.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Vocational trainers 39.2% observed", "ai_type": "automation_broad" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Développeur·euse logiciels · informaticien·ne", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "2512", "median_salary_chf_month": 11000, "headcount_ch_2024": 35000, "exposure_score_primary": 7.5, "exposure_score_avg": 7.5, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Architecte IA & orchestrateur de systèmes", "explanation_fr": "ITDF 2026 : 'ceux qui décrivent clairement ce qu'ils veulent domineront'. Concevoir agents, pipelines IA, systèmes multi-modaux — compétence unmachineable de haut niveau." }, { "role": "Expert gouvernance & IA responsable", "explanation_fr": "Jugement éthique sur les systèmes = compétence unmachineable (ITDF). AI Act, FINMA et Swissmedic exigent des ingénieurs responsables au sens légal." }, { "role": "Tech Lead & mentor de transition numérique", "explanation_fr": "Dimension 'care' appliquée au tech : accompagner des équipes en transition IA, former, guider — rôle humain de plus en plus stratégique." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "OpenAI · AI Jobs Transition Framework · dev logiciel = top exposition + capability overhang marqué", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Data scientist · analyste données", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "2120", "median_salary_chf_month": 11500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": null, "exposure_score_avg": null, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Architecte IA & designer de systèmes responsables", "explanation_fr": "ITDF 2026 : jugement éthique et conception d'IA responsables = compétences unmachineables critiques. AI Act impose supervision humaine documentée." }, { "role": "Traducteur IA-métier & communicateur de données", "explanation_fr": "Traduire les résultats des modèles en décisions compréhensibles — pont entre IA et directions. La compétence humaine de synthèse et de narration reste irremplaçable." }, { "role": "Expert audit des biais & équité algorithmique", "explanation_fr": "ITDF alerte sur les inégalités IA — détecter discriminations et dérives des modèles est un rôle humain de plus en plus réglementé et demandé." } ], "sources": [], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Designer d'interaction · UX specialist", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "2166", "median_salary_chf_month": 10000, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": null, "exposure_score_avg": null, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [], "sources": [], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Chef·fe de projet IT · responsable programmes", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "2522", "median_salary_chf_month": 11000, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": null, "exposure_score_avg": null, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": 0, "reconversion_paths": [], "sources": [], "_origin_set": "D" }, { "label": "Sylviculteur", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5200, "headcount_ch_2024": 9000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Travail en forêt, abattage et entretien : tâches physiques difficiles à automatiser. Outils GPS et drones en appui.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert gestion forêts & carbone", "explanation_fr": "Crédits carbone, inventaires forestiers numériques." }, { "role": "Technicien biomasse & énergie verte", "explanation_fr": "Valorisation déchets forestiers, chaufferies bois." }, { "role": "Consultant agroforesterie", "explanation_fr": "Conseil exploitation mixte agriculture-forêt." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Paysagiste", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5400, "headcount_ch_2024": 22000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Conception et entretien d'espaces verts : créativité terrain difficile à déléguer à l'IA. Logiciels 3D en appui.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Designer urbain & végétalisation", "explanation_fr": "Toits végétalisés, corridors écologiques urbains." }, { "role": "Expert biodiversité & éco-paysage", "explanation_fr": "Plantations mellifères, haies bocagères." }, { "role": "Consultant paysage & bien-être", "explanation_fr": "Thérapie par la nature, jardins thérapeutiques." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Vigneron", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4800, "headcount_ch_2024": 9000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Viticulture : gestion du terroir, vinification artisanale. Capteurs et IA prédictive en appui météo, peu substituables en cave.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Oenotourisme & expérience terroir", "explanation_fr": "Visites domaines, formations dégustation." }, { "role": "Expert viticulture biologique", "explanation_fr": "Labels bio, biodynamique, certifications." }, { "role": "Consultant export vins suisses", "explanation_fr": "Marchés asiatiques, premium, e-commerce." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Apiculteur", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Gestion des ruches : observation, intervention physique, savoir-faire traditionnel. Capteurs IoT naissants mais non substituables.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert pollinisation & agriculture", "explanation_fr": "Services de pollinisation pour grandes cultures." }, { "role": "Formateur apiculture urbaine", "explanation_fr": "Ruches sur toits, sensibilisation biodiversité." }, { "role": "Producteur miels premium", "explanation_fr": "Labellisation, vente directe, export." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Arboriculteur", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4200, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Culture fruitière : taille, récolte, traitement. Robots de récolte en développement mais rentabilité limitée en Suisse.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Producteur fruits bio labellisés", "explanation_fr": "IP-Suisse, bio Suisse, circuits courts." }, { "role": "Technicien agriculture de précision", "explanation_fr": "Drones, capteurs, irrigation intelligente." }, { "role": "Conseiller agro-export", "explanation_fr": "Fruits suisses premium, marchés européens." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Horticulteur", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4500, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Production florales et légumières sous serre : gestion climat, taille, repiquage. Automatisation partielle possible en grande série.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Spécialiste plantes médicinales", "explanation_fr": "Phytothérapie, production bio, transformation." }, { "role": "Conseiller aménagement intérieur végétal", "explanation_fr": "Green offices, murs végétaux, biophilic design." }, { "role": "Gestionnaire serre connectée", "explanation_fr": "IoT, robotique, cultures hydroponiques." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Ouvrier agricole qualifié", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A8Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 3800, "headcount_ch_2024": 28000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Polyvalence terrain : conduite engins, entretien, récolte. Forte demande physique. Peu substituable à court terme.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Conducteur machines agricoles spécialisées", "explanation_fr": "GPS, télémétrie, drones agricoles." }, { "role": "Technicien maintenance engins agricoles", "explanation_fr": "Formation CFC mécanique agricole." }, { "role": "Agent traçabilité & qualité", "explanation_fr": "Certification produits, contrôle sanitaire." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Pêcheur professionnel", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4200, "headcount_ch_2024": 800, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Pêche lacustre suisse : savoir-faire saisonnier, réglementé. Faible automatisation possible.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert gestion ressources halieutiques", "explanation_fr": "Suivi stocks, quotas, biodiversité aquatique." }, { "role": "Aquaculteur & pisciculteur", "explanation_fr": "Élevage durable, certification." }, { "role": "Guide pêche & tourisme lacustre", "explanation_fr": "Tourisme expérientiel, formation." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Jardinier communal", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "B0Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5200, "headcount_ch_2024": 14000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Entretien espaces verts publics : tonte, taille, arrosage. Automatisation partielle (robots tonte) mais supervision humaine requise.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Gestionnaire espaces verts urbains", "explanation_fr": "Biodiversité urbaine, gestion différenciée." }, { "role": "Technicien irrigation & arrosage intelligent", "explanation_fr": "Capteurs humidité, systèmes connectés." }, { "role": "Formateur sensibilisation nature", "explanation_fr": "Programmes scolaires, ateliers citoyens." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Photographe professionnel", "np_domain": "B", "np_domain_label": "Artisanat d'art & métiers d'art", "fap_code": "B2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5800, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Photographie reportage et studio : post-production IA (Lightroom AI, Firefly) accélère. L'oeil, la relation sujet, l'instant décisif restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Photographe corporate & brand content", "explanation_fr": "Direction photo, stratégie visuelle marque." }, { "role": "Vidéaste & créateur contenu hybride", "explanation_fr": "Photo + vidéo + motion, YouTubers B2B." }, { "role": "Expert post-production IA", "explanation_fr": "Formation équipes, workflows automatisés." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Céramiste / Potier", "np_domain": "B", "np_domain_label": "Artisanat d'art & métiers d'art", "fap_code": "B3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4200, "headcount_ch_2024": 1500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Artisanat céramique : creation manuelle unique, marché premium. L'IA ne remplace pas le geste artisanal et la signature créative.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Artisan céramique haut de gamme", "explanation_fr": "Marchés design, hôtellerie, galeries." }, { "role": "Formateur arts céramiques", "explanation_fr": "Ateliers adultes, thérapie par l'art." }, { "role": "Designer céramique industriel", "explanation_fr": "Prototypage 3D, édition limitée." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Joaillier / Bijoutier", "np_domain": "B", "np_domain_label": "Artisanat d'art & métiers d'art", "fap_code": "B4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5500, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.1, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Joaillerie artisanale : geste unique, matériaux précieux, client premium. Faible substitution IA. CAO en appui pour design.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Concepteur joaillerie & CAO", "explanation_fr": "Rhino3D, impression 3D, prototypage." }, { "role": "Expert gemmes & valorisation", "explanation_fr": "Gemmologie, estimation, marché secondaire." }, { "role": "Responsable atelier joaillerie luxe", "explanation_fr": "Maisons horlogères, grandes enseignes CH." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 1.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "Imas · U. Chicago · secteur relationnel 2026", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Sculpteur", "np_domain": "B", "np_domain_label": "Artisanat d'art & métiers d'art", "fap_code": "B5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4000, "headcount_ch_2024": 1200, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Sculpture : création tridimensionnelle unique. L'IA peut assister le design mais l'oeuvre physique reste humaine.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Sculpteur espace public & commandes", "explanation_fr": "Art monumental, appels d'offres municipaux." }, { "role": "Artiste numérique & NFT", "explanation_fr": "Sculpture numérique, éditions limitées." }, { "role": "Professeur arts plastiques", "explanation_fr": "HEA, gymnases, académies." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Restaurateur d'oeuvres d'art", "np_domain": "B", "np_domain_label": "Artisanat d'art & métiers d'art", "fap_code": "B6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6200, "headcount_ch_2024": 1800, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Restauration : diagnostic précis, geste technique sur matériaux fragiles. IA en appui analyse chimique. Irremplaçable sur l'acte de restauration.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert restauration & musées", "explanation_fr": "Mandats institutionnels, UNESCO, musées cantonaux." }, { "role": "Consultant conservation préventive", "explanation_fr": "Conditions stockage, numérisation patrimoine." }, { "role": "Formateur techniques anciennes", "explanation_fr": "HEA, CFC restauration." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Costumier / Modiste", "np_domain": "B", "np_domain_label": "Artisanat d'art & métiers d'art", "fap_code": "B7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4500, "headcount_ch_2024": 2000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Costume et mode artisanale : savoir-faire couture unique. IA en appui design. Marché haut de gamme résistant.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Styliste mode durable", "explanation_fr": "Upcycling, collections capsule, marchés éthiques." }, { "role": "Costumier théâtre & cinéma", "explanation_fr": "Grandes productions, RTS, ateliers." }, { "role": "Designer accessoires premium", "explanation_fr": "Maroquinerie, chapellerie, bijoux textiles." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Musicien classique", "np_domain": "B", "np_domain_label": "Artisanat d'art & métiers d'art", "fap_code": "B8Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5200, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Interprétation musicale : émotion, présence scénique, tradition. L'IA compose mais ne remplace pas l'interprète live.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Musicien de chambre & ensembles", "explanation_fr": "Scènes régionales, tournées, résidences." }, { "role": "Pédagogue musical", "explanation_fr": "Conservatoires, académies, cours privés." }, { "role": "Directeur musical & production", "explanation_fr": "Événementiel, festivals, enregistrement." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Gestionnaire de sinistres", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Traitement sinistres : classification et tri IA, mais négociation, expertise contradictoire et décision complexe restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert sinistres complexes & contentieux", "explanation_fr": "Sinistres majeurs, expertise judiciaire." }, { "role": "Spécialiste sinistres cyber", "explanation_fr": "Cyber assurance, montée en puissance." }, { "role": "Manager qualité & conformité sinistres", "explanation_fr": "Processus, KPI, audit FINMA." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Underwriter", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 11000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Souscription risque : l'IA analyse les données de base, mais l'évaluation de risques complexes (construction, D&O, cyber) reste humaine.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Underwriter risques émergents & cyber", "explanation_fr": "Cyber, IA, supply chain : niche en croissance." }, { "role": "Directeur souscription technique", "explanation_fr": "Portefeuille, P&L, coordination équipes." }, { "role": "Consultant tarification IA", "explanation_fr": "Pricing models, ML, transformation underwriting." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Courtier en assurances", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Courtage : comparateurs IA pour produits simples. Conseil patrimonial, entreprises et risques complexes résistent à l'automatisation.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Courtier entreprises & risques industriels", "explanation_fr": "Spécialisation B2B, grands comptes." }, { "role": "Expert risques cyber & technologiques", "explanation_fr": "Certification cyber, montée rapide." }, { "role": "Conseiller patrimonial indépendant", "explanation_fr": "Prévoyance, LPP, hypothèques CH." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Analyste crédit", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 10000, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Analyse crédit : scoring IA pour dossiers standard. L'IA automatise 60-70% des dossiers simples. Crédit complexe (entreprises, LBO) reste humain.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert crédit structuré & leveraged finance", "explanation_fr": "LBO, obligations, syndication." }, { "role": "Analyste risque ESG & financement durable", "explanation_fr": "Green bonds, critères ESG, SFDR." }, { "role": "Credit manager & gestion portefeuille", "explanation_fr": "Pilotage risques, provisionnement, NPL." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Trader", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 15000, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 8, "exposure_score_avg": 8.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Trading : algorithmes dominent les marchés liquides (HFT, arbitrage). Le trader humain reste pour produits complexes OTC, relations institutionnelles et gestion de crise.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Structureur produits complexes", "explanation_fr": "Dérivés OTC, structured notes, exotiques." }, { "role": "Gestionnaire risques & desk management", "explanation_fr": "VaR, stress testing, supervision IA trading." }, { "role": "Responsable relations institutionnelles", "explanation_fr": "Fonds souverains, banques centrales, mandats." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · tâches hautement automatisables", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 8, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs Research · automatisation col blanc", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · exposition structurée LLM", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Analyste M&A", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 13000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2500, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.2, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "M&A : due diligence IA pour data rooms, modélisation automatisée. Négociation, structuration créative, relation client senior restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Partner M&A boutique", "explanation_fr": "Transactions mid-cap CH, secteurs niches." }, { "role": "Expert valorisation & litiges", "explanation_fr": "Expert judiciaire, arbitrage, contentieux." }, { "role": "Entrepreneur & business angel", "explanation_fr": "Investissement direct, accompagnement startups." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "OpenAI · AI Jobs Transition Framework · finance = forte exposition", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Spécialiste private equity", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C8Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 14000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Private equity : sourcing et screening IA, mais conviction d'investissement, structuration et accompagnement portefeuille restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Partner GP fonds PE", "explanation_fr": "Levée de fonds, LPs institutionnels." }, { "role": "Directeur portfolio opérations", "explanation_fr": "Transformation value creation, exits." }, { "role": "Venture partner & board member", "explanation_fr": "Scale-ups CH, série B-C, conseil stratégique." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable conformité bancaire", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 12000, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Compliance : l'IA détecte anomalies (AML, KYC) mais l'interprétation réglementaire, FINMA reporting et décision de signalement restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert AML & sanctions internationales", "explanation_fr": "OFAC, GAFI, transactions cross-border." }, { "role": "Responsable données & vie privée bancaire", "explanation_fr": "nLPD, RGPD, gouvernance données." }, { "role": "Consultant RegTech", "explanation_fr": "Automatisation compliance, LegalTech." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Spécialiste financement d'entreprises", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "D0Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 11000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Corporate finance : modélisation IA en appui, mais conseil stratégique, structuration financement et relation dirigeants restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "CFO PME suisse", "explanation_fr": "Direction financière, trésorerie, IPO." }, { "role": "Expert financement durable & green finance", "explanation_fr": "Green bonds, taxonomie EU, ESG reporting." }, { "role": "Consultant transformation finance", "explanation_fr": "ERP, automatisation, pilotage performance." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Acheteur professionnel", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 10000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Achats : automatisation sourcing et comparaison prix. Négociation, sélection fournisseurs stratégiques, gestion relations restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur achats & supply chain", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie sourcing, risk management." }, { "role": "Expert achats durables & ESG", "explanation_fr": "Due diligence fournisseurs, critères sociaux." }, { "role": "Consultant transformation achats", "explanation_fr": "Digitalisation, e-procurement, IA achats." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable e-commerce", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 10000, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "E-commerce : IA transforme recommendation, pricing dynamique, personnalisation. Le stratège canal, UX et P&L global restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur omnicanal & digital", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie cross-canal, CX." }, { "role": "Expert marketplaces & plateformes", "explanation_fr": "Amazon, Alibaba, LaFourchette." }, { "role": "Spécialiste performance & data e-com", "explanation_fr": "Analytics, A/B testing, CRO." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Category manager", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 10500, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Gestion catégorie : analyse IA pour assortiments, tendances. Stratégie catégorie, négo fournisseurs et placement restes humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur catégorie grande surface", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie prix, promotion, espace." }, { "role": "Expert retail data & shopper insights", "explanation_fr": "Analytics comportement, panels, études." }, { "role": "Consultant merchandising & espace", "explanation_fr": "Trade marketing, activation client." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable grands comptes", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 12000, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Key account management : prospection IA, CRM automatisé. Relation stratégique, négociation contrats complexes et compréhension écosystème client restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur commercial B2B", "explanation_fr": "Direction vente, équipe, stratégie Go-to-market." }, { "role": "Partenaire de business développement", "explanation_fr": "Nouvelles alliances, JV, partenariats." }, { "role": "Consultant commercial & CRM", "explanation_fr": "Salesforce, HubSpot, transformation vente." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Merchandiser", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Merchandising : planogrammes IA, vision par ordinateur en magasin. Exécution terrain, relation enseigne, créativité visuelle restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert visual merchandising premium", "explanation_fr": "Luxe, horlogerie, retail haut de gamme." }, { "role": "Spécialiste retail analytics", "explanation_fr": "Data vente, sell-through, rotations." }, { "role": "Coordinateur trade marketing", "explanation_fr": "PLV, animations, activation point de vente." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Import-Export manager", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Commerce international : documentation IA, douanes automatisées. Négociation contrats, gestion risques pays et relations partenaires restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert douanes & réglementation CH", "explanation_fr": "OFD, OFT, accord bilatéraux." }, { "role": "Responsable supply chain internationale", "explanation_fr": "Risques géopolitiques, nearshoring." }, { "role": "Consultant commerce extérieur", "explanation_fr": "OSEC/Switzerland Global Enterprise." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Agent commercial", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7500, "headcount_ch_2024": 14000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Agent commercial : CRM IA, génération leads automatisée. Relation client, closing deals complexes et confiance restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Commercial grands comptes indépendant", "explanation_fr": "Multi-mandats, commissions élevées." }, { "role": "Expert social selling", "explanation_fr": "LinkedIn Sales Navigator, outbound IA." }, { "role": "Responsable zone export", "explanation_fr": "Développement marchés émergents CH." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Vendeur spécialisé", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D8Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5800, "headcount_ch_2024": 28000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Vente spécialisée (hi-fi, bijoux, sport) : conseil expert difficile à remplacer. L'e-commerce pression sur points physiques mais expérience terrain résiste.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert produits techniques premium", "explanation_fr": "Horlogerie, optique, audiologie." }, { "role": "Conseiller clientèle luxe", "explanation_fr": "Expérience client, fidélisation." }, { "role": "Formateur vente & techniques commerciales", "explanation_fr": "Formation interne, coaching." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Attaché de presse", "np_domain": "E", "np_domain_label": "Communication, média, traduction", "fap_code": "E1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Relations presse : rédaction IA pour communiqués simples. Stratégie médias, gestion crise, réseau journalistes restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur communication corporate", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie, porte-parole, crisis management." }, { "role": "Expert influence & médias sociaux", "explanation_fr": "Social media strategy, community management." }, { "role": "Consultant réputation & e-reputation", "explanation_fr": "ORM, veille, gestion crise digitale." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Chef de projet communication", "np_domain": "E", "np_domain_label": "Communication, média, traduction", "fap_code": "E3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Gestion de projet communication : outils IA pour planification, reporting. Coordination équipes, vision créative et relation client restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur conseil en agence", "explanation_fr": "Pilotage multi-clients, P&L agence." }, { "role": "Consultant communication intégrée", "explanation_fr": "360°, omnicanal, campagnes globales." }, { "role": "Expert transformation communication", "explanation_fr": "IA marketing, automatisation, outils." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Interprète de conférence", "np_domain": "E", "np_domain_label": "Communication, média, traduction", "fap_code": "E5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9000, "headcount_ch_2024": 1500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Interprétation simultanée : IA ne peut pas encore égaler en temps réel la compréhension contextuelle et culturelle. OI Genève : marché protégé institutionnellement.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Interprète conférences OI & diplomatique", "explanation_fr": "ONU, OMC, OMS, CICR Genève." }, { "role": "Expert langues rares & diplomatique", "explanation_fr": "Persan, arabe, russe : très rares." }, { "role": "Formateur interprétation & communication", "explanation_fr": "Universités, formations diplomatiques." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable marketing digital", "np_domain": "E", "np_domain_label": "Communication, média, traduction", "fap_code": "E6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 10500, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Marketing digital : personnalisation IA, SEO automatisé, A/B testing. Stratégie globale, brand positioning, budget allocation restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "CMO / Directeur marketing", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie marque, budget, équipes." }, { "role": "Expert growth & performance marketing", "explanation_fr": "CAC, LTV, acquisition multi-canal." }, { "role": "Consultant MarTech & IA marketing", "explanation_fr": "Automatisation, CRM, stack marketing." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Spécialiste SEO/SEA", "np_domain": "E", "np_domain_label": "Communication, média, traduction", "fap_code": "E7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8000, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Référencement : outils IA (Semrush, Ahrefs AI) transforment l'analyse. Stratégie contenu, compréhension intent, architecture site restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert SEO éditorial & contenu", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie contenu, E-E-A-T, piliers thématiques." }, { "role": "Spécialiste publicité programmatique", "explanation_fr": "DSP, RTB, data activation." }, { "role": "Consultant analytics & data marketing", "explanation_fr": "GA4, attribution, reporting." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Brand manager", "np_domain": "E", "np_domain_label": "Communication, média, traduction", "fap_code": "E8Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 10000, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Gestion de marque : analyse IA pour tracking, insight consommateur. Positionnement, territoire créatif et vision long terme restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur marketing & brand strategy", "explanation_fr": "P&L marque, architecture portfolio." }, { "role": "Expert brand purpose & impact", "explanation_fr": "RSE, communication engagée, B Corp." }, { "role": "Consultant marques globales", "explanation_fr": "Extension marque, marchés émergents." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Géomètre-expert", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Géomètre : mesures terrain, cadastre, droit foncier. Drones et LiDAR automatisent les levés, mais certification légale et expertise foncière restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert géomatique & SIG", "explanation_fr": "QGIS, ArcGIS, cartographie 3D." }, { "role": "Spécialiste droit foncier & cadastre", "explanation_fr": "Loi foncière CH, servitudes, voisinage." }, { "role": "Expert BIM & maquette numérique", "explanation_fr": "Coordination 3D, réception numérique." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Urbaniste / Planificateur territorial", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 10000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Planification territoriale : analyse SIG IA, modélisation trafic. Concertation citoyenne, décision politique et vision territoriale restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert mobilité durable & smart city", "explanation_fr": "Transports publics, mobilité douce, MaaS." }, { "role": "Consultant développement territorial", "explanation_fr": "LAT, LABES, projets d'agglomération." }, { "role": "Directeur aménagement cantonal", "explanation_fr": "Administration cantonale, mandats publics." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Ingénieur en génie civil", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 10500, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Génie civil : calculs automatisés, simulation FEM. Conception complexe, risque géologique et responsabilité légale restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert barrages & ouvrages hydrauliques", "explanation_fr": "Sécurité ouvrages CH, OFEV." }, { "role": "Spécialiste géotechnique & fondations", "explanation_fr": "Risques terrain, instabilité, tunnels." }, { "role": "Directeur projets infrastructure", "explanation_fr": "Routes, rail, ponts, mandats cantonaux." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Ingénieur HVAC", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Chauffage, ventilation, climatisation : logiciels de simulation IA. Conception intégrale, expertise terrain et maintenance restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert bâtiments passifs & Minergie", "explanation_fr": "CECB, rénovations énergétiques." }, { "role": "Spécialiste pompes à chaleur & géothermie", "explanation_fr": "Transition énergétique, subventions CH." }, { "role": "Commissionnement & efficacité énergétique", "explanation_fr": "ASHRAE, audits, smart buildings." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Maître électricien", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Électricité bâtiment : câblage, tableau, domotique. Travaux physiques, sécurité électrique et certification NIBT restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert domotique & bâtiment intelligent", "explanation_fr": "KNX, Loxone, smart home premium." }, { "role": "Spécialiste bornes recharge VE", "explanation_fr": "Infrastructure charging, Swisscharge." }, { "role": "Chef de projet électrotechnique", "explanation_fr": "Gros chantiers, pilotage sous-traitants." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Plombier-chauffagiste", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7500, "headcount_ch_2024": 22000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Plomberie et chauffage : intervention physique, diagnostic terrain. Maintenance préventive IA en appui, mais exécution manuelle irremplaçable.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Technicien pompes à chaleur & solaire", "explanation_fr": "Transition énergétique, montage subventions." }, { "role": "Expert thermique bâtiment", "explanation_fr": "Audits, CECB, rénovations." }, { "role": "Responsable maintenance multitechnique", "explanation_fr": "Facility management, contrats globaux." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Dessinateur en bâtiment", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F8Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 10000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Dessin technique bâtiment : IA générative (CAO, BIM) transforme le métier. Coordination, vérification de cohérence et expertise client restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "BIM coordinateur", "explanation_fr": "Clash detection, LOD, coordination modèles." }, { "role": "Dessinateur spécialisé façades & enveloppe", "explanation_fr": "SEFAR, Reynaers, détails constructifs." }, { "role": "Technicien certification Minergie", "explanation_fr": "Calculs thermiques, SIA 380." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable hôtel", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Direction hôtelière : revenue management IA, booking automatisé. Leadership équipe, expérience client et gestion de crise restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "General Manager établissement premium", "explanation_fr": "Luxe CH, palace, hôtel de charme." }, { "role": "Expert revenue management & yield", "explanation_fr": "Pricing dynamique, distribution OTA." }, { "role": "Directeur expérience client", "explanation_fr": "Guest journey, satisfaction, NPS." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Chef cuisinier", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 10000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.1, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Cuisine créative : l'IA suggère des recettes mais la création culinaire, la relation brigade et l'émotion du restaurant restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chef consultant & médias", "explanation_fr": "Ouverture concepts, livres, TV." }, { "role": "Responsable restauration collective premium", "explanation_fr": "ESG, circuits courts, nutrition." }, { "role": "Formateur arts culinaires", "explanation_fr": "Écoles hôtelières, masterclass." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 1.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "Imas · U. Chicago · secteur relationnel 2026", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Sommelier", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 2500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Sommellerie : l'IA peut recommander des accords, mais dégustation sensorielle, conseil client et émotion du service restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur cave & négociant", "explanation_fr": "Sélection, importation, conseil B2B." }, { "role": "Formateur œnologie & WSET", "explanation_fr": "Formations certifiantes, niveaux 1-4." }, { "role": "Consultant F&B luxury hospitality", "explanation_fr": "Création carte vins, expérience." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Guide de montagne", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.1, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Guidage alpinisme : sécurité terrain, décision météo, relation client. Irremplaçable physiquement. Réglementation UIAGM protège la profession.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Guide haute montagne & expéditions", "explanation_fr": "Himalaya, Andes, guides UIAGM." }, { "role": "Moniteur ski & outdoor instructor", "explanation_fr": "Ski, surf, randonnée, certifications." }, { "role": "Expert sécurité montagne & formation", "explanation_fr": "CAS, clubs alpins, formation guidage." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 1.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "Imas · U. Chicago · secteur relationnel 2026", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Agent de voyages", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5800, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 8, "exposure_score_avg": 8.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Agence de voyages : comparateurs IA, booking automatisé dominent le marché standard. Voyages sur mesure, croisières et corporate restent différenciants.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Conseiller voyages luxe & sur mesure", "explanation_fr": "HNWI, voyages d'exception, conciergerie." }, { "role": "Travel manager corporate", "explanation_fr": "Politique voyage, TMC, business travel." }, { "role": "Expert destination niche", "explanation_fr": "Antarctique, Patagonie, safaris premium." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · tâches hautement automatisables", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 8, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs Research · automatisation col blanc", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · exposition structurée LLM", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Concierge d'hôtel", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 4.1, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Service conciergerie : chatbots pour demandes standards. Démarches complexes, recommandations personnalisées et relation client haute gamme restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chef concierge palace & LHW", "explanation_fr": "Leading Hotels, Golden Keys." }, { "role": "Responsable guest experience", "explanation_fr": "Parcours client, CRM hôtelier, NPS." }, { "role": "Consultant hospitalité de luxe", "explanation_fr": "Standards Forbes, accueil VIP." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 1.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "Imas · U. Chicago · secteur relationnel 2026", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable événements", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Event management : outils IA pour logistique, gestion invités. Créativité événementielle, coordination partenaires et gestion J-day restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur événements corporate & MICE", "explanation_fr": "Séminaires, incentives, congrès." }, { "role": "Expert hybrid events & digital", "explanation_fr": "Plateformes virtuelles, streaming." }, { "role": "Responsable événements durables", "explanation_fr": "Certification ISO 20121, bilan carbone." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Opérateur de production", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5800, "headcount_ch_2024": 38000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Production industrielle : robots collaboratifs (cobots) automatisent les tâches répétitives. Supervision, maintenance et contrôle qualité terrain restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Technicien cobotique & automatisation", "explanation_fr": "Programmation cobots, intégration lignes." }, { "role": "Opérateur qualité & six sigma", "explanation_fr": "Lean manufacturing, contrôle statistique." }, { "role": "Technicien maintenance industrielle", "explanation_fr": "Préventif, correctif, GMAO." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Horloger", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8200, "headcount_ch_2024": 10000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.1, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Horlogerie suisse : assemblage manuel pièces de haute précision, savoir-faire centenaire. L'IA assiste le contrôle qualité mais le geste est irremplaçable.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Maître horloger haute horlogerie", "explanation_fr": "Complications, restauration montres historiques." }, { "role": "Technicien contrôle qualité optique", "explanation_fr": "Vision par ordinateur, inspection." }, { "role": "Responsable formation horlogerie", "explanation_fr": "CIFOM, écoles d'horlogerie, CFC." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 1.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "Imas · U. Chicago · secteur relationnel 2026", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Microtechnicien", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9000, "headcount_ch_2024": 10000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Microtechnique : montage composants très petits, précision extrême. Salle blanche, lunettes de grossissement, main humaine irremplaçable sur pièces uniques.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert microsystèmes & MEMS", "explanation_fr": "Capteurs, actuateurs, miniaturisation." }, { "role": "Technicien optique & instrumentation", "explanation_fr": "Laser, optique de précision, photonique." }, { "role": "Spécialiste medtech & implants", "explanation_fr": "Dispositifs médicaux, ISO 13485." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien en automatisation", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 14000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Automatisation industrielle : PLC, robots. Paradoxalement, l'automatisation crée de la demande pour des techniciens capables de concevoir et maintenir ces systèmes.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Ingénieur système automatisation", "explanation_fr": "Siemens, Fanuc, intégration systèmes." }, { "role": "Expert IIoT & industrie 4.0", "explanation_fr": "Capteurs, SCADA, connectivité usine." }, { "role": "Technicien validation & qualification", "explanation_fr": "GMP, pharma, validation CSV." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Imprimeur", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6200, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 8, "exposure_score_avg": 8.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Impression : marché contracté de 40% en 10 ans. L'impression offset résiste sur l'édition premium et packaging. Numérique et IA accentuent la pression.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Spécialiste impression numérique premium", "explanation_fr": "Grands formats, personnalisation masse." }, { "role": "Expert packaging & emballage durable", "explanation_fr": "Éco-conception, bioplastiques, recyclage." }, { "role": "Technicien prépresse & colorimétrie", "explanation_fr": "PDF/X, ICC profiles, workflow." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · tâches hautement automatisables", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 8, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs Research · automatisation col blanc", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · exposition structurée LLM", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Menuisier-ébéniste", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 14000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.1, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Menuiserie artisanale : CNC et routeurs IA automatisent les découpes standard. Ébénisterie sur mesure, finitions main et restauration meubles anciens résistent.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Ébéniste restaurateur patrimoine", "explanation_fr": "Musées, châteaux, meubles historiques." }, { "role": "Concepteur mobilier sur mesure", "explanation_fr": "Architectes d'intérieur, marché premium." }, { "role": "Opérateur CNC & fabrication numérique", "explanation_fr": "Pilotage machines, programmation." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 1.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "Imas · U. Chicago · secteur relationnel 2026", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Carrossier", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7000, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Carrosserie : réparation collision, peinture. Robots en peinture série mais réparation accident reste manuelle. Véhicules électriques créent nouvelles compétences.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert ADAS & réparation VE", "explanation_fr": "Capteurs, calibration, haute tension." }, { "role": "Technicien peinture premium", "explanation_fr": "Matching couleur, vernis céramique." }, { "role": "Expert expertise automobile", "explanation_fr": "Expertise judiciaire, assurances." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Horticulteur de serre", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H8Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4500, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Culture sous serre industrielle : capteurs IA, irrigation et climat automatisés. Supervision, traitements phyto et décision agronomique restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable production horticole certifiée", "explanation_fr": "GlobalG.A.P., bio, circuits courts." }, { "role": "Expert culture hors-sol & hydroponique", "explanation_fr": "Aéroponie, NFT, fermes verticales." }, { "role": "Gestionnaire serre connectée", "explanation_fr": "IoT, domotique, data agronomique." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Électronicien", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 9000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Réparation électronique : diagnostic assisté IA (oscilloscope numérique, AI test). Intervention physique sur composants et diagnostic expert restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert réparation équipements médicaux", "explanation_fr": "ISO 13485, maintenance biomédicale." }, { "role": "Technicien electronique embarquée VE", "explanation_fr": "BMS, onduleurs, haute tension." }, { "role": "Spécialiste cybersécurité OT/ICS", "explanation_fr": "Systèmes de contrôle industriels." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Mécanicien de précision", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7500, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Mécanique de précision : tolérances au micron, savoir-faire spécialisé. Formation duale CFC longue. Forte pénurie en Suisse, peu automatisable.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Technicien métrologie & calibration", "explanation_fr": "METAS, ISO 17025, labos accrédités." }, { "role": "Expert outillages & moules", "explanation_fr": "Industrie plasturgie, moulage injection." }, { "role": "Technicien machines-outils CNC avancé", "explanation_fr": "5 axes, EDM, tournage ultra-précision." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Frigoriste", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7500, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Réfrigération/climatisation : diagnostic IA en appui, mais intervention sur fluides frigorigènes, soudure et certification réglementaire restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert systèmes froid CO2 & naturels", "explanation_fr": "Transition frigorigènes, F-gas." }, { "role": "Technicien data centers & refroidissement", "explanation_fr": "Serveurs, free cooling, PUE." }, { "role": "Chargé de formation F-Gas & environnement", "explanation_fr": "Réglementation EU, certifications." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien CVC", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Chauffage-ventilation-climatisation : maintenance préventive IA assistée. Intervention terrain, réglage et dépannage restent manuels.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Technicien bâtiments à énergie positive", "explanation_fr": "Minergie-P, NZEB, rénovations." }, { "role": "Expert pompes à chaleur & géothermie", "explanation_fr": "Forage, dimensionnement, CECB." }, { "role": "Spécialiste qualité air intérieur", "explanation_fr": "IAQ, filtration, ventilation double flux." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Électricien industriel", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 14000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Électricité industrielle : travaux sur armoires HT/BT, câblage machines. Intervention physique, sécurité électrique et habilitation restent irremplaçables.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert haute tension & postes THT", "explanation_fr": "CFF, BKW, EOS, réseau de transport." }, { "role": "Technicien énergie solaire industrielle", "explanation_fr": "Centrales PV, onduleurs, monitoring." }, { "role": "Coordinateur maintenance industrielle", "explanation_fr": "GMAO, préventif, coordination équipes." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Roboticien", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 11000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Robotique : paradoxe de Moravec — l'IA crée une demande explosive pour des ingénieurs capables de concevoir, programmer et maintenir les robots.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Ingénieur robotique collaborative", "explanation_fr": "UR, ABB, Fanuc, intégration cobot." }, { "role": "Expert vision artificielle industrielle", "explanation_fr": "Qualité, contrôle, inspection automatisée." }, { "role": "Responsable R&D robotique", "explanation_fr": "Startups, HEI, EPFL Robotics." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Automaticien / Intégrateur", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 10000, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Automatisation : les intégrateurs systèmes sont en pénurie critique. L'industrie 4.0 crée plus de postes qu'elle n'en supprime pour ce profil.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Architecte systèmes d'automatisation", "explanation_fr": "Conception lignes, ROI automatisation." }, { "role": "Expert jumeaux numériques", "explanation_fr": "Siemens TIA, Digital Twin, simulation." }, { "role": "Directeur usine digitale", "explanation_fr": "Smart factory, transformation industrie." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Dentiste", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 13000, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Dentisterie : l'IA détecte caries sur radio (Pearl, Diagnocat) mais l'intervention clinique, l'anesthésie et la relation patient restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Spécialiste implantologie & prothèse", "explanation_fr": "Implants Straumann, All-on-4, digital." }, { "role": "Expert orthodontie aligneurs", "explanation_fr": "Invisalign, 3M Clarity, clear aligners." }, { "role": "Directeur cabinet dentaire", "explanation_fr": "Gestion, marketing, formation équipe." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Ergothérapeute", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7500, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Ergothérapie : évaluation fonctionnelle, rééducation AVQ. Relation thérapeutique et adaptation environnement individuelle restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert handicap & accessibilité", "explanation_fr": "Adaptations logement, appareillage." }, { "role": "Ergothérapeute neurologie & AVC", "explanation_fr": "Rééducation cognitive, stroke units." }, { "role": "Conseiller environnement de travail", "explanation_fr": "Santé au travail, ergonomie poste." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Diététicien", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Diététique : applications IA pour nutrition personnalisée (Noom, Lifesum). Pathologies complexes, suivi clinique et TCA restent sous supervision humaine.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Diététicien clinique spécialisé", "explanation_fr": "Oncologie, néphro, gastro, TCA." }, { "role": "Expert nutrition sportive", "explanation_fr": "Athlètes de haut niveau, CIO." }, { "role": "Consultant foodtech & alimentation durable", "explanation_fr": "Aliments fonctionnels, étiquetage." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Logopédiste", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Logopédie : thérapie du langage, de la voix et de la déglutition. Analyse fine et relation thérapeutique restent humaines. Outils IA en évaluation diagnostique.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Logopédiste spécialisé aphasie & AVC", "explanation_fr": "Réadaptation neurologique adulte." }, { "role": "Expert bégaiement & troubles phonologiques", "explanation_fr": "Thérapies spécialisées adultes/enfants." }, { "role": "Enseignant spécialisé & pédagogie", "explanation_fr": "SEM, SESAF, HEP." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien en imagerie médicale", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J8Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Imagerie médicale : IA (Enlitic, Aidoc) détecte anomalies sur clichés. Acquisition technique, préparation patient et paramétrage restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert IRM avancée & neuroradio", "explanation_fr": "3T, 7T, protocoles complexes." }, { "role": "Spécialiste médecine nucléaire & PET", "explanation_fr": "TEP-TDM, radiopharmaceutiques." }, { "role": "Technicien maintenance équipements", "explanation_fr": "GE, Siemens, Philips healthcare." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Orthoptiste", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7200, "headcount_ch_2024": 1200, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Orthoptie : rééducation vision. Faible automatisation directe. IA en dépistage (télémédecine ophtalmologique) mais rééducation reste humaine.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert réadaptation basse vision", "explanation_fr": "Malvoyants, appareillage optique." }, { "role": "Coordinateur dépistage ophtalmologique", "explanation_fr": "Screening diabétique, RPS, OFSP." }, { "role": "Formateur professions paramédicales", "explanation_fr": "HEDSanté, ICUS." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien de laboratoire médical", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "K0Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7200, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Laboratoire : automates de plus en plus autonomes (Cobas, Architect). Validation biologique, contrôle qualité et cas complexes restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Spécialiste biologie moléculaire", "explanation_fr": "PCR, NGS, génomique clinique." }, { "role": "Expert histologie & anatomopathologie", "explanation_fr": "IA assist, H&E, immunohistochimie." }, { "role": "Responsable qualité laboratoire", "explanation_fr": "ISO 15189, accréditation ILAC." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Ambulancier / Paramédicien", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "K1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7500, "headcount_ch_2024": 6500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Urgences pré-hospitalières : décision clinique terrain, gestes techniques. IA en aide au triage (eCPR) mais intervention physique irremplaçable.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Paramédic avancé & SMUR", "explanation_fr": "IAS3, soins avancés, intubation." }, { "role": "Coordinateur gestion crise & catastrophe", "explanation_fr": "Planification, SMEDREC, ORCA." }, { "role": "Formateur secourisme & BLS/AED", "explanation_fr": "Formation grand public, EMS." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Éducateur·trice de l'enfance (EDE) HES", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "K3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5800, "headcount_ch_2024": 32000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Petite enfance : relation éducative irremplaçable. LaMal Suisse et réglementation cantonale exigent présence humaine qualifiée. Très forte pénurie.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable structure petite enfance", "explanation_fr": "Direction crèche, normes OAJE." }, { "role": "Spécialiste éducation précoce inclusive", "explanation_fr": "Enfants à besoins particuliers." }, { "role": "Formateur EDE & accompagnement", "explanation_fr": "Haute école spécialisée, CFC." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Animateur·trice socioculturel·le ES", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "K4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6200, "headcount_ch_2024": 9000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Animation socioculturelle : lien social, créativité collective. Très difficile à automatiser. Demande sociale forte, financement public stable en CH.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable centre social & communautaire", "explanation_fr": "Quartiers, intégration, médiation." }, { "role": "Coordinateur projets interculturels", "explanation_fr": "Migration, cohésion, participation." }, { "role": "Expert design de services sociaux", "explanation_fr": "Human-centered design, évaluation impact." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Cuisinier·ère CFC · restauration collective", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "K6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5200, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Restauration collective : certaines tâches de préparation automatisables (Moley). Gestion approvisionnement, nutrition et relation convives restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chef gérant restauration durable", "explanation_fr": "Circuits courts, bio, HACCP." }, { "role": "Responsable restauration santé", "explanation_fr": "Hôpitaux, EMS, régimes médicaux." }, { "role": "Consultant nutrition & foodservice", "explanation_fr": "Méthodes, menus, formation équipes." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Agent·e de sécurité CFC / brevet fédéral", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "K7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5500, "headcount_ch_2024": 22000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Sécurité privée : surveillance IA (CCTV analytics) et drones. Gestion de crise, intervention physique et relation publique restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Spécialiste sécurité événementielle", "explanation_fr": "Grands événements, Davos, WEF." }, { "role": "Expert cybersécurité & sécurité intégrée", "explanation_fr": "Convergence physique/logique." }, { "role": "Responsable sécurité corporate", "explanation_fr": "Enterprise security, risk management." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Sapeur-pompier professionnel", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "K8Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Sapeur-pompier : intervention terrain, sauvetage, lutte feux. IA en aide à la décision (dispatcheur). Présence physique irremplaçable.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert risques chimiques CBRN", "explanation_fr": "Matières dangereuses, décontamination." }, { "role": "Formateur secours & gestion crise", "explanation_fr": "ICCM, organisation interventions." }, { "role": "Ingénieur sécurité incendie", "explanation_fr": "Protection passif/actif, normes AEAI." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Coiffeur", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "K9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4500, "headcount_ch_2024": 16000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Coiffure : geste manuel unique, relation client. L'IA suggère des coiffures (YouCam Hair) mais l'exécution physique est irremplaçable. Marché stable.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert colorimétrie & techniques avancées", "explanation_fr": "Balayage, kératine, soins premium." }, { "role": "Formateur & éducateur technique", "explanation_fr": "Académies, marques professionnelles." }, { "role": "Gérant salon haut de gamme", "explanation_fr": "Management, marketing local." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Esthéticien·ne CFC / cosmétologie", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "L0Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5000, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Esthétique : soins manuels, relation bien-être. IA en analyse de peau (skin scanners) mais le soin physique reste humain. Marché en croissance.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Spécialiste soins médicaux esthétiques", "explanation_fr": "Laser, injections, HydraBio." }, { "role": "Expert cosmétique naturelle & bio", "explanation_fr": "Formulation, certification, coaching." }, { "role": "Responsable spa luxe", "explanation_fr": "Wellness, concept, formation équipe." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Acteur / Comédien", "np_domain": "L", "np_domain_label": "Spectacle & arts vivants", "fap_code": "L1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4500, "headcount_ch_2024": 3000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Jeu d'acteur : présence physique, émotion, improvisation. L'IA génère des deepfakes mais ne remplace pas le comédien vivant. Marché fragilisé par streaming.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Coach artistique & formation", "explanation_fr": "Cours de jeu, ateliers, workshops." }, { "role": "Acteur doublage & voix off", "explanation_fr": "Publicités, e-learning, jeux vidéo." }, { "role": "Directeur casting & production", "explanation_fr": "Productions audiovisuelles, théâtre." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Réalisateur", "np_domain": "L", "np_domain_label": "Spectacle & arts vivants", "fap_code": "L2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Réalisation : outils IA pour montage automatique, colorimétrie. Vision artistique, direction d'acteurs et storytelling restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Réalisateur documentaire & fiction", "explanation_fr": "RTS, SRF, festivals internationaux." }, { "role": "Créateur contenu OTT", "explanation_fr": "Netflix, Amazon, plateformes SVOD." }, { "role": "Directeur production audiovisuelle", "explanation_fr": "Post-production, supervision créative." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien son", "np_domain": "L", "np_domain_label": "Spectacle & arts vivants", "fap_code": "L3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Son : IA pour mastering automatisé (LANDR), mixage assisté. Prise de son live, enregistrement studio complexe et postprod narrative restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Ingénieur son live & broadcast", "explanation_fr": "Concerts, TV, productions directes." }, { "role": "Sound designer & création sonore", "explanation_fr": "Cinéma, jeux vidéo, immersif." }, { "role": "Formateur son & studio", "explanation_fr": "Écoles audiovisuelles, académies." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien lumière", "np_domain": "L", "np_domain_label": "Spectacle & arts vivants", "fap_code": "L4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5800, "headcount_ch_2024": 2500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Lumière scénique : systèmes LED programmables, IA pour shows automatisés. Création artistique, collaboration metteur en scène restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur lumière & créateur scénographie", "explanation_fr": "Opéra, théâtres, concerts." }, { "role": "Expert événements & live entertainment", "explanation_fr": "Stades, festivals, conventions." }, { "role": "Formateur éclairage scénique", "explanation_fr": "HETSR, ERACOM, CFC." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Régisseur de spectacle", "np_domain": "L", "np_domain_label": "Spectacle & arts vivants", "fap_code": "L5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5500, "headcount_ch_2024": 2000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Régie : coordination générale plateau, sécurité. Gestion équipes et décisions temps réel restent humaines. IA pour planning et logistique en appui.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur technique théâtre", "explanation_fr": "Direction technique, budget, planning." }, { "role": "Expert sécurité spectacle & ERP", "explanation_fr": "Normes feux, permis d'exploitation." }, { "role": "Directeur de production", "explanation_fr": "Tournées, production indépendante." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Danseur professionnel", "np_domain": "L", "np_domain_label": "Spectacle & arts vivants", "fap_code": "L6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 4800, "headcount_ch_2024": 1500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Danse : corps en mouvement, expression physique irremplaçable. IA pour chorégraphie assistée mais la performance reste humaine.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chorégraphe & directeur artistique", "explanation_fr": "Compagnies, créations, tournées." }, { "role": "Pédagogue danse & bien-être", "explanation_fr": "Studios, conservatoires, thérapie." }, { "role": "Expert santé & performance du danseur", "explanation_fr": "Kinésithérapie, prévention blessures." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "DJ / Producteur musical", "np_domain": "L", "np_domain_label": "Spectacle & arts vivants", "fap_code": "L7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Production musicale : Suno, Udio, AIVA génèrent de la musique. La production unique et identitaire, la performance live et la curation artistique restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Producteur musique sync & placement", "explanation_fr": "Films, pubs, médias, librairies." }, { "role": "Expert music tech & production IA", "explanation_fr": "Formation outils, consultant labels." }, { "role": "Directeur artistique label indépendant", "explanation_fr": "A&R, développement artistes, catalogue." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable RH", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Gestion RH opérationnelle : recrutement, onboarding, administration du personnel, formation. Les outils IA (ATS, SIRH) automatisent les tâches répétitives. La médiation, le conseil aux managers et le développement humain restent centraux.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Partenaire business RH & conseil aux managers", "explanation_fr": "Accompagnement des équipes dans les transformations induites par l'IA, recrutement de profils hybrides, gestion des reconversions internes." }, { "role": "Expert relations sociales & syndicales", "explanation_fr": "CCT, négociations, droit travail CH." }, { "role": "Consultant talent management", "explanation_fr": "Assessment, succession, mobilité." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Auditeur interne", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 11500, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Audit interne : IA pour analyse continue (continuous auditing), détection anomalies. Jugement professionnel, interview management et rapport restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert forensic & lutte contre la fraude", "explanation_fr": "CFE, investigations, contentieux." }, { "role": "Responsable risques & contrôle interne", "explanation_fr": "COSO, ISO 31000, SOX." }, { "role": "Directeur audit & conformité", "explanation_fr": "CAE, comité audit, Board reporting." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable supply chain", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 11500, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Supply chain : IA pour prévision demande, optimisation stocks. Gestion fournisseurs stratégiques, resilience et décisions risque géopolitique restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur supply chain & opérations", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie, nearshoring, risques." }, { "role": "Expert logistique durable & circular", "explanation_fr": "Reverse logistics, empreinte carbone." }, { "role": "Consultant supply chain résilience", "explanation_fr": "Dual sourcing, business continuity." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable IT", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 13000, "headcount_ch_2024": 9000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Responsable IT : IA pour monitoring infrastructure, gestion incidents L1. Architecture, gouvernance IT et décisions stratégiques restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "CIO / Directeur digital", "explanation_fr": "Transformation, cloud, gouvernance." }, { "role": "Expert cybersécurité & RSSI", "explanation_fr": "CISO, ISO 27001, protection données." }, { "role": "Architecte solutions cloud", "explanation_fr": "AWS, Azure, GCP, hybrid." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Office manager", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7200, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.4, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Office management : tâches administratives de plus en plus automatisées (IA secrétariat, agenda, voyages). Coordination transversale et relation humaine restent centrales.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chief of Staff & direction de cabinet", "explanation_fr": "Bras droit dirigeant, CoS." }, { "role": "Responsable expérience collaborateur", "explanation_fr": "Workplace design, EX, bien-être." }, { "role": "Expert services généraux & facility", "explanation_fr": "Real estate, mobilier, prestataires." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8.5, "year": 2026, "citation": "OpenAI · AI Jobs Transition Framework · tâches administratives = top exposition", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Gestionnaire de paie", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 8, "exposure_score_avg": 8.2, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Paie : très haute automatisation (Sage, SAP, ADP). Les cas complexes (expatriés, LPP spéciaux, litiges) et la responsabilité légale restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert paie internationale & expatriés", "explanation_fr": "Shadow payroll, fiscalité internationale." }, { "role": "Responsable SIRH & paie digitale", "explanation_fr": "Implémentation, intégration, ERP." }, { "role": "Consultant droit social & paie", "explanation_fr": "LAA, LPP, LAVS, contentieux." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · tâches hautement automatisables", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 8, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs Research · automatisation col blanc", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 8, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · exposition structurée LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 9.0, "year": 2026, "citation": "OpenAI · AI Jobs Transition Framework · paie = automatisation maximale", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable qualité", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M8Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 10500, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Management qualité : audits IA, surveillance KPI automatisée. Animation démarche qualité, leadership transversal et décision corrective restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur qualité & risques", "explanation_fr": "ISO 9001, 14001, 45001 intégrés." }, { "role": "Expert qualité pharma & medtech", "explanation_fr": "GMP, Swissmedic, ISO 13485." }, { "role": "Consultant excellence opérationnelle", "explanation_fr": "Lean, Six Sigma Black Belt." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Contrôleur aérien", "np_domain": "N", "np_domain_label": "Transport & logistique", "fap_code": "N2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 13000, "headcount_ch_2024": 1500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Contrôle aérien : aide décisionnelle IA (AMAN, DMAN). Mais décision finale sécurité et gestion de séparation restent humaines. Réglementation ICAO stricte.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert systèmes ATM & SESAR", "explanation_fr": "Évolution SES, digitalisation." }, { "role": "Instructeur ATCO & simulation", "explanation_fr": "Formation contrôleurs, ENAC." }, { "role": "Manager sécurité aviation", "explanation_fr": "SMS, accident investigation, BAZL." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Dispatcher transport", "np_domain": "N", "np_domain_label": "Transport & logistique", "fap_code": "N4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7000, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Dispatch : optimisation routes IA (HERE, Google Maps Dispatch). Gestion incidents, chauffeurs et clients en temps réel restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable exploitation transport", "explanation_fr": "Flotte, réglementation, coûts." }, { "role": "Expert mobilité durable & électrique", "explanation_fr": "Poids lourds électriques, hydrogène." }, { "role": "Coordinateur dernier kilomètre urbain", "explanation_fr": "Micro-hubs, vélos cargo, réglementation." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Agent de fret", "np_domain": "N", "np_domain_label": "Transport & logistique", "fap_code": "N5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Fret : documentation IA, douanes automatisées. Coordination transport multimodal, gestion litiges et relation client restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert douanes & commerce extérieur", "explanation_fr": "OFD, OMC, règlement 952/2013." }, { "role": "Responsable fret aérien premium", "explanation_fr": "Aéroport GVA, ZRH, cargo time-sensitive." }, { "role": "Consultant logistique verte", "explanation_fr": "Bilan carbone fret, report modal." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Conducteur de train", "np_domain": "N", "np_domain_label": "Transport & logistique", "fap_code": "N6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8000, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Conduite ferroviaire : ETCS et conduite automatique en développement. CFF Suisse : syndicats forts, sécurité réglementée. Transition lente et supervisée.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert signalisation ferroviaire", "explanation_fr": "ETCS, SIFER, systèmes de sécurité." }, { "role": "Superviseur opérations ferroviaires", "explanation_fr": "Centre opérations, régulation réseau." }, { "role": "Instructeur conduite & sécurité", "explanation_fr": "Formation mécaniciens, simulation." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Opérateur entrepôt", "np_domain": "N", "np_domain_label": "Transport & logistique", "fap_code": "N7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5500, "headcount_ch_2024": 28000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Entrepôt : picking robotisé (Kiva, Geek+), tri automatique. La gestion des exceptions, articles hors-gabarit et supervision restent humaines. Fort impact attendu.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Technicien systèmes robotiques entrepôt", "explanation_fr": "AGV, AMR, maintenance, supervision." }, { "role": "Coordinateur qualité & retours", "explanation_fr": "Gestion SAV, retours, contrôle." }, { "role": "Responsable sécurité & hygiène entrepôt", "explanation_fr": "SUVA, 5S, prévention accidents." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Producteur audiovisuel", "np_domain": "O", "np_domain_label": "Audiovisuel & contenus numériques", "fap_code": "O2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9000, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Production : outils IA pour casting, scriptwriting, distribution. Vision créative, financement et leadership équipe restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Producteur fiction & documentaire", "explanation_fr": "RTS, co-productions, MEDIA EU." }, { "role": "Directeur production films & séries", "explanation_fr": "Plateformes SVOD, contenus originaux." }, { "role": "Expert financement audiovisuel", "explanation_fr": "SSA, OFCOM, fonds cantonaux." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Animateur radio / TV", "np_domain": "O", "np_domain_label": "Audiovisuel & contenus numériques", "fap_code": "O4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Animation : présence, personnalité, interaction live. L'IA voice clone possible mais authenticité et spontanéité live restent différenciantes.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Animateur podcast & plateforme audio", "explanation_fr": "Spotify, Deezer, contenu natif." }, { "role": "Expert media training & prise de parole", "explanation_fr": "Coaching dirigeants, porte-parole." }, { "role": "Producteur contenu & podcast brand", "explanation_fr": "Branded content, content marketing." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Vidéaste / Caméraman", "np_domain": "O", "np_domain_label": "Audiovisuel & contenus numériques", "fap_code": "O5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6000, "headcount_ch_2024": 10000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Image : IA pour stabilisation, étalonnage automatique. Cadrage créatif, interview et reportage terrain restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur de la photographie", "explanation_fr": "Cinéma, publicité, direction artistique." }, { "role": "Caméraman broadcast & news", "explanation_fr": "TV, agences, live events." }, { "role": "Réalisateur-cadreur polyvalent", "explanation_fr": "Contenus web, corporate, événements." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Rédacteur en chef", "np_domain": "O", "np_domain_label": "Audiovisuel & contenus numériques", "fap_code": "O6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 10000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Direction éditoriale : l'IA génère du contenu mais la ligne éditoriale, le positionnement et les décisions publication restent humaines. Marché médias difficile.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur éditorial digital", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie contenus, SEO, audiences." }, { "role": "Consultant médias & transformation", "explanation_fr": "Modèles économiques, abonnements." }, { "role": "Expert droit de la presse & éthique", "explanation_fr": "RSF, déontologie, LPD." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Designer UX/UI", "np_domain": "O", "np_domain_label": "Audiovisuel & contenus numériques", "fap_code": "O7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9000, "headcount_ch_2024": 22000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Design d'interface : Figma AI, Adobe Firefly transforment la production. Stratégie UX, recherche utilisateur et design système restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur UX & expérience produit", "explanation_fr": "Product design, discovery, roadmap." }, { "role": "Expert accessibilité & design inclusif", "explanation_fr": "WCAG, personas diverse, audit." }, { "role": "Design system lead", "explanation_fr": "Tokens, composants, gouvernance design." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Huissier de justice", "np_domain": "P", "np_domain_label": "Justice & sécurité publique spécialisée", "fap_code": "P3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Huissier : exécution forcée, signification actes. Réglementation cantonale stricte. L'IA automatise le suivi mais l'acte officiel reste humain.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert recouvrement & contentieux", "explanation_fr": "LP, poursuite, faillite CH." }, { "role": "Médiateur & résolution amiable", "explanation_fr": "Médiation civile, accords." }, { "role": "Gestionnaire portefeuille créances", "explanation_fr": "Rachat créances, SPV." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Conseiller juridique entreprise", "np_domain": "P", "np_domain_label": "Justice & sécurité publique spécialisée", "fap_code": "P4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 12000, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Juriste d'entreprise : IA pour due diligence, contrats standards (Kira, Luminance). Conseil stratégique, négociation et contentieux complexe restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "General Counsel / Directeur juridique", "explanation_fr": "Direction juridique, board secretary." }, { "role": "Expert droit tech & IA", "explanation_fr": "Données, algorithmes, IA regulation." }, { "role": "Spécialiste droit M&A", "explanation_fr": "Fusions, acquisitions, restructurations." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Spécialiste propriété intellectuelle", "np_domain": "P", "np_domain_label": "Justice & sécurité publique spécialisée", "fap_code": "P5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 13000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "PI : recherche antériorité IA automatisée. Stratégie portefeuille brevets, litiges et conseil international restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Mandataire en brevets européen", "explanation_fr": "EPO, WIPO, brevets tech." }, { "role": "Expert marques & designs", "explanation_fr": "IPI, EUIPO, enregistrements." }, { "role": "Conseil stratégie PI & licences", "explanation_fr": "Valorisation, licensing, due dil." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Expert judiciaire", "np_domain": "P", "np_domain_label": "Justice & sécurité publique spécialisée", "fap_code": "P6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 14000, "headcount_ch_2024": 1000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Expertise judiciaire : analyse technique, rapport tribunal. IA en appui analyse. Responsabilité morale, déontologie et témoignage restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert forensique numérique", "explanation_fr": "Données, preuves numériques, cybercrime." }, { "role": "Expert comptable judiciaire", "explanation_fr": "Fraudes, préjudices, dommages." }, { "role": "Expert en bâtiment & sinistres", "explanation_fr": "Vices cachés, réception travaux." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Médecin légiste", "np_domain": "P", "np_domain_label": "Justice & sécurité publique spécialisée", "fap_code": "P7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 15000, "headcount_ch_2024": 500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Médecine légale : autopsie, identification, rapport judiciaire. IA en appui analyse images mais acte médical légal reste humain.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chef service médecine légale", "explanation_fr": "Instituts universitaires, forensique." }, { "role": "Expert identification & biologie légale", "explanation_fr": "ADN, empreintes, toxicologie." }, { "role": "Formateur étudiants médecine & police", "explanation_fr": "FMH, gendarmes, formation." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Conseiller fiscal", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "Q1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 12500, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Fiscalité : IA pour déclarations simples (TaxGPT, ELSTER). Optimisation fiscale complexe, internationale et conseil stratégique restent humains. Réglementation AFC CH.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert fiscalité internationale", "explanation_fr": "Prix de transfert, BEPS, rulings." }, { "role": "Directeur fiscal groupe", "explanation_fr": "Consolidation fiscale, holding CH." }, { "role": "Consultant TVA & fiscalité indirecte", "explanation_fr": "LTVA, e-commerce transfrontalier." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Expert-comptable", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "Q2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 11000, "headcount_ch_2024": 7000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Expertise comptable : comptabilité IA automatisée (Crésus, Abacus AI). Révision, conseil et certification légale restent humains. Réforme CO suisse.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Réviseur agréé & audit légal", "explanation_fr": "Vérification, CO 727, PCSI." }, { "role": "Expert restructurations & turn-around", "explanation_fr": "Assainissement, sursis concordataire." }, { "role": "Directeur financier externalise", "explanation_fr": "CFO as a service PME." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Consultant RH", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "Q3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 10500, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Conseil RH : recrutement IA (matching, screening). Conseil organisationnel, culture change et leadership assessment restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert talent management & coaching", "explanation_fr": "Executive coaching, ICF, assessment." }, { "role": "Consultant transformation organisationnelle", "explanation_fr": "Change management, ADKAR." }, { "role": "Responsable DEI & culture", "explanation_fr": "Diversité, équité, inclusion, politique." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Consultant en stratégie", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "Q4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 14000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Conseil stratégique : analyses IA, benchmarks automatisés. Synthèse, créativité stratégique, conseil dirigeants et transformation restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Partner conseil stratégie", "explanation_fr": "McKinsey, BCG, Roland Berger CH." }, { "role": "Directeur stratégie & développement", "explanation_fr": "CDO, stratégie corporate, M&A." }, { "role": "Entrepreneur & advisor startup", "explanation_fr": "Écosystème CH, Investisseur, board." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Médiateur", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "Q5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 1500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Médiation : écoute active, gestion émotionnelle, créativité de solution. Irremplaçable humainement. Marché en croissance (RSJ, médiation familiale).", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Médiateur familial certifié", "explanation_fr": "Divorce, séparation, garde enfants." }, { "role": "Expert médiation commerciale & arbitrage", "explanation_fr": "CCI Paris, arbitrage international." }, { "role": "Formateur médiation & communication", "explanation_fr": "Certifications RSJ, formation continue." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Conseiller en prévoyance", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "Q7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 10000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Prévoyance LPP/AVS : calculateurs IA pour simulations. Conseil holistique, optimisation patrimoniale et relation confiance restent humains. Marché suisse spécifique.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert planification retraite", "explanation_fr": "2e et 3e pilier, rachats LPP." }, { "role": "Conseiller prévoyance entreprise", "explanation_fr": "Fondations, règlements, plan." }, { "role": "Formateur prévoyance sociale CH", "explanation_fr": "Formation agents, cours FSAB." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Professeur d'université", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "R1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 13000, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Enseignement supérieur : IA pour cours standardisés (MOOC). Recherche, mentorat doctoral, innovation pédagogique et relation intellectuelle restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chercheur & professeur tenure track", "explanation_fr": "Grants SNF, publications Q1, tenure." }, { "role": "Directeur de programme & Dean", "explanation_fr": "Leadership académique, accréditation." }, { "role": "Expert transfert de technologie", "explanation_fr": "Spin-offs, valorisation recherche, KTT." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Formateur en entreprise", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "R2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9000, "headcount_ch_2024": 9000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Formation professionnelle : IA pour e-learning adaptatif. Création contenu expert, facilitation et relation apprenants restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Learning designer & instructional design", "explanation_fr": "ADDIE, 70:20:10, xAPI." }, { "role": "Expert simulation & serious games", "explanation_fr": "Formation immersive, VR, AR." }, { "role": "Directeur formation & talent", "explanation_fr": "CLO, académie d'entreprise." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Professeur de gymnase", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "R3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9800, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Enseignement gymnasial : l'IA peut générer exercices, mais la didactique disciplinaire approfondie, la relation élève et la maturité fédérale restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert didactique & innovation pédagogique", "explanation_fr": "HEP, recherche en éducation." }, { "role": "Directeur gymnase & leadership", "explanation_fr": "Direction d'établissement, DEF." }, { "role": "Conseiller orientation & carrière", "explanation_fr": "OFPC, orientation professionnelle." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Moniteur de formation professionnelle", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "R4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Formation CFC : apprentissage dual, compagnonnage. Transmission de savoir-faire pratico-technique irremplaçable. Système suisse reconnu mondialement.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert formation duale & SEFRI", "explanation_fr": "Ordonnances formation, réforme." }, { "role": "Responsable formation apprentis entreprise", "explanation_fr": "CFF, Swiss, grandes entreprises." }, { "role": "Conseiller offres de formation", "explanation_fr": "ORP, RP, orientation adultes." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Enseignant spécialisé", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "R5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Enseignement spécialisé : accompagnement élèves à besoins particuliers. Adaptation, relation, inclusion. IA en appui outils mais relation humaine centrale.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert neuropsychologie & DYS", "explanation_fr": "Dyslexie, dyscalculie, TDAH." }, { "role": "Coordinateur inclusion scolaire", "explanation_fr": "Conception inclusive, partenariats." }, { "role": "Formateur HEP enseignement spécialisé", "explanation_fr": "CAS, MAS, recherche." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Coach professionnel", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "R6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 11000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Coaching : IA propose outils et ressources. L'alliance thérapeutique, la présence et la maïeutique restent irremplaçables. ICF protège la déontologie.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Executive coach ICF PCC", "explanation_fr": "C-suite, dirigeants, comités." }, { "role": "Coach équipes & leadership collectif", "explanation_fr": "Team coaching, culture performante." }, { "role": "Expert coaching transition de carrière", "explanation_fr": "Outplacement, reconversion, bilan." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "France Stratégie · automatisation travail manuel", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · travail physique non-routinier", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA et métiers de terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Architecte cloud", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "S1Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 15000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Architecture cloud : IA pour optimisation infra, IaC automatisé. Conception multiclouds, sécurité et gouvernance restent humains. Pénurie critique.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Cloud architect AWS/Azure/GCP certifié", "explanation_fr": "Solutions architect, SAP, CDP." }, { "role": "FinOps expert & cloud cost optimization", "explanation_fr": "Reserved instances, rightsizing." }, { "role": "Expert edge computing & IoT", "explanation_fr": "Latence, souveraineté données." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Ingénieur DevOps / SRE", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "S2Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 13500, "headcount_ch_2024": 5500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "DevOps : IA pour CI/CD, monitoring, alerting. Conception pipelines, SLO/SLA et gestion incidents critiques restent humains. Demande explosive.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Platform engineer & IDP", "explanation_fr": "Developer platforms, Backstage, Helm." }, { "role": "Expert SRE & observabilité", "explanation_fr": "Datadog, Grafana, OpenTelemetry." }, { "role": "Architecte sécurité DevSecOps", "explanation_fr": "SAST, DAST, shift left." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Spécialiste cybersécurité", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "S3Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 14000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Cybersécurité : IA pour détection anomalies (SIEM, XDR). Threat hunting, réponse incident et stratégie défense restent humains. Pénurie mondiale.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "RSSI / CISO", "explanation_fr": "Gouvernance, risk management, COBIT." }, { "role": "Expert pentesting & Red Team", "explanation_fr": "OSCP, offensive security, bug bounty." }, { "role": "Analyste SOC & threat intelligence", "explanation_fr": "CTI, MITRE ATT&CK, IR." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Data engineer", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "S4Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 13000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Data engineering : IA génère des pipelines (dbt, Airflow AI). Architecture de données, qualité et gouvernance data restent humains. Demande forte.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Architecte data & lakehouse", "explanation_fr": "Delta Lake, Iceberg, Databricks." }, { "role": "Expert data quality & governance", "explanation_fr": "Dataplex, Atlan, Data Catalog." }, { "role": "Head of data engineering", "explanation_fr": "Équipe, stratégie, data platform." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Product manager tech", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "S5Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 14000, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Product management : IA pour analyse feedback, priorisation. Vision produit, stakeholders et décisions produit stratégiques restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chief Product Officer / CPO", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie produit, roadmap, équipes." }, { "role": "Product lead IA & ML products", "explanation_fr": "Produits intelligents, UX IA." }, { "role": "Entrepreneur tech & founder", "explanation_fr": "Startup, seed, product-market fit." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Ingénieur en sécurité des données", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "S6Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 13500, "headcount_ch_2024": 2800, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Sécurité données : IA pour classification automatique, DLP. Gouvernance nLPD, architecture Zero Trust et conformité globale restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert DPO & conformité RGPD/nLPD", "explanation_fr": "Privacy by design, DPIA, CNIL." }, { "role": "Architecte Zero Trust & IAM", "explanation_fr": "CyberArk, Okta, SASE, SSE." }, { "role": "Consultant sécurité cloud & SaaS", "explanation_fr": "CASB, SSPM, posture management." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation tâches cognitives", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · GPTs are GPTs · exposition tâches", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "NZZ · Digitalisierung und Berufe", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Consultant en transformation digitale", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "S7Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 13000, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Transformation digitale : IA transforme aussi les outils du consultant. Vision stratégique, conduite du changement et management de crise technologique restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur innovation & digital", "explanation_fr": "CDO, CTO shadow, transformation." }, { "role": "Expert IA adoption & change management", "explanation_fr": "Formation, accompagnement, ROI." }, { "role": "Fondateur consulting tech", "explanation_fr": "Boutique conseil, niche secteur." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · tâches reproductibles LLM", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs Report 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "Massenkoff & McCrory · Anthropic Economic Index 2026", "ai_type": "generative" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien agricole", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A9Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 6000, "headcount_ch_2024": 9000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Gestion technico-administrative exploitation. Logiciels agricoles en appui, expertise terrain irremplaçable.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Conseiller technico-commercial", "explanation_fr": "Intrants, semences, agrofournitures." }, { "role": "Responsable qualité filière", "explanation_fr": "Traçabilité, certifications." }, { "role": "Expert audit exploitation", "explanation_fr": "Bilans, diagnostics." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Conducteur d'engins agricoles", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 4800, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Tracteurs, moissonneuses. GPS et autoguidage en appui, supervision humaine sur terrain variable.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Technicien machinisme", "explanation_fr": "Entretien, réparation engins." }, { "role": "Opérateur drones agricoles", "explanation_fr": "Épandage, cartographie." }, { "role": "Responsable parc matériel", "explanation_fr": "Flotte, planning, GMAO." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Vigneron-caviste", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A4Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 5500, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Viticulture et vinification : terroir, assemblage. Capteurs et IA prédictive en appui, irremplaçable en cave.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Œnotourisme & expérience", "explanation_fr": "Visites domaines, dégustations." }, { "role": "Expert viticulture biologique", "explanation_fr": "Labels bio, biodynamique." }, { "role": "Consultant export vins", "explanation_fr": "Marchés premium, e-commerce." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Ingénieur agronome", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A9Z60", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Modélisation IA pour prévisions culturales. Conseil expert et innovations terrain restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable R&D semences", "explanation_fr": "Phénotypage, sélection." }, { "role": "Expert agro-environnement", "explanation_fr": "MAE, PAC, aides." }, { "role": "Consultant agroécologie", "explanation_fr": "Accompagnement, financement." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable coopérative", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A9Z70", "median_salary_chf_month": 9000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Stratégie commerciale, relation adhérents. IA en appui marché, concertation reste humaine.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur commercial coopérative", "explanation_fr": "Export, transformation." }, { "role": "Responsable collecte", "explanation_fr": "Flux grains, stockage." }, { "role": "Expert filières labellisées", "explanation_fr": "Bio, AOP, IGP." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Forestier-garde", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A9Z80", "median_salary_chf_month": 5800, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Surveillance forêt, coupe, reboisement. Drones en appui, décision locale irremplaçable.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert prévention incendies", "explanation_fr": "DFCI, pare-feux." }, { "role": "Technicien reboisement & carbone", "explanation_fr": "Crédits carbone, label bas-C." }, { "role": "Responsable faune & chasse", "explanation_fr": "Plans de chasse, équilibres." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien vétérinaire", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A9Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 6200, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Soins animaux, assistance chirurgie. Relation animal-propriétaire irremplaçable.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Technicien animalier labo", "explanation_fr": "Recherche biomédicale." }, { "role": "Spécialiste nutrition animale", "explanation_fr": "Aliments, diagnostic." }, { "role": "Responsable élevage", "explanation_fr": "Gestion sanitaire, biosécurité." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Agri-technicien conseil", "np_domain": "A", "np_domain_label": "Agriculture, sylviculture & pêche", "fap_code": "A9Z90", "median_salary_chf_month": 7000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Diagnostic exploitation, recommandations. Relation de confiance agriculteur reste humaine.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Conseiller chambre d'agriculture", "explanation_fr": "Accompagnement technico-économique." }, { "role": "Expert diagnostic carbone", "explanation_fr": "Bilan GES, compensation." }, { "role": "Formateur pratiques durables", "explanation_fr": "Bio, HVE, agroécologie." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Scénographe", "np_domain": "B", "np_domain_label": "Artisanat d'art & métiers d'art", "fap_code": "B9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 1500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Conception espaces scéniques. Créativité spatiale et collaboration irremplaçables.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Designer exposition & muséo", "explanation_fr": "Musées, expositions." }, { "role": "Concepteur espaces événementiels", "explanation_fr": "Salons, installations." }, { "role": "Expert scénographie numérique", "explanation_fr": "Mapping, XR." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Auteur / Écrivain", "np_domain": "B", "np_domain_label": "Artisanat d'art & métiers d'art", "fap_code": "B9Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 4500, "headcount_ch_2024": 3000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "LLMs génèrent du texte. Voix singulière et profondeur narrative restent humaines. Marché perturbé.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Auteur niche experte", "explanation_fr": "Essais, biographies, technique." }, { "role": "Script doctor", "explanation_fr": "Cinéma, séries, jeux." }, { "role": "Formateur écriture créative", "explanation_fr": "Ateliers, résidences." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Bibliothécaire", "np_domain": "B", "np_domain_label": "Artisanat d'art & métiers d'art", "fap_code": "B9Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 6800, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Catalogage IA automatisé. Médiation culturelle et curation restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert données culturelles", "explanation_fr": "Dublin Core, linked data." }, { "role": "Médiateur numérique", "explanation_fr": "Inclusion, formation seniors." }, { "role": "Responsable patrimoine", "explanation_fr": "Conservation, numérisation." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Archiviste", "np_domain": "B", "np_domain_label": "Artisanat d'art & métiers d'art", "fap_code": "B9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour OCR et classification. Expertise juridique et valeur patrimoniale restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert Records Management", "explanation_fr": "ISO 15489, gouvernance." }, { "role": "Archiviste numérique", "explanation_fr": "OAIS, migration." }, { "role": "Responsable archives publiques", "explanation_fr": "Droit archives, communicabilité." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Conservateur de musée", "np_domain": "B", "np_domain_label": "Artisanat d'art & métiers d'art", "fap_code": "B9Z60", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 2500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Expertise scientifique, relation collections. Jugement curatorial reste humain.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur institution culturelle", "explanation_fr": "Programmation, mécénat." }, { "role": "Expert marché de l'art", "explanation_fr": "Authentification, estimation." }, { "role": "Médiateur culturel", "explanation_fr": "Programmes scolaires." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Architecte d'intérieur", "np_domain": "B", "np_domain_label": "Artisanat d'art & métiers d'art", "fap_code": "B9Z70", "median_salary_chf_month": 8000, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA génère des rendus. Conception fonctionnelle et relation client restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Architecte intérieur luxe", "explanation_fr": "Hôtels, boutiques premium." }, { "role": "Expert design biophilique", "explanation_fr": "Végétalisation, bien-être." }, { "role": "Directeur artistique déco", "explanation_fr": "Style, sourcing, collections." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Critique culturel", "np_domain": "B", "np_domain_label": "Artisanat d'art & métiers d'art", "fap_code": "B9Z80", "median_salary_chf_month": 5500, "headcount_ch_2024": 1500, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA analyse des œuvres mais sensibilité et autorité intellectuelle restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Curateur indépendant", "explanation_fr": "Expositions, biennales." }, { "role": "Expert conseil acquisition art", "explanation_fr": "Collections privées." }, { "role": "Auteur essais esthétique", "explanation_fr": "Édition, universités." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Gestionnaire de patrimoine", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 13000, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Robo-advisors pour portefeuilles standards. Conseil HNWI et planning successoral restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Family Office Manager", "explanation_fr": "UHNWI, multi-générationnel." }, { "role": "Expert fiscal international", "explanation_fr": "Optimisation, expatriés." }, { "role": "Responsable philanthropy", "explanation_fr": "Fondations, impact." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Directeur agence bancaire", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C9Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 12000, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA gère opérations courantes. Leadership et développement portefeuille restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur commercial régional", "explanation_fr": "Animation réseau, objectifs." }, { "role": "Expert PME & financement", "explanation_fr": "Crédit, conseil financier." }, { "role": "Responsable private banking", "explanation_fr": "Clientèle premium." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Chargé clientèle particuliers", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C9Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 7000, "headcount_ch_2024": 25000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "58% exposition observée sur Claude (Massenkoff 2026). Opérations auto, conseil crédit reste humain.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Conseiller digital", "explanation_fr": "Banque en ligne, e-signature." }, { "role": "Spécialiste prévoyance", "explanation_fr": "Épargne, succession." }, { "role": "Expert crédit immobilier", "explanation_fr": "Renégociation, plan." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable recouvrement", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 8000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Scoring IA, prédiction défaut. Négociation plans de remboursement reste humaine.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert restructuration dette", "explanation_fr": "Plans, concordat." }, { "role": "Spécialiste NPL", "explanation_fr": "Rachat créances, distressed." }, { "role": "Médiateur bancaire", "explanation_fr": "Amiable, consommateur." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Spécialiste ESG finance", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C9Z60", "median_salary_chf_month": 12000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Taxonomie EU, SFDR, TCFD. IA en appui reporting, expertise sectorielle reste humaine.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable investissement responsable", "explanation_fr": "ISR, fonds impact." }, { "role": "Expert reporting extrafinancier", "explanation_fr": "CSRD, GRI, SASB." }, { "role": "Directeur sustainability banking", "explanation_fr": "Green bonds, transition." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Actuaire vie", "np_domain": "C", "np_domain_label": "Banque, assurance, immobilier", "fap_code": "C9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 13000, "headcount_ch_2024": 1800, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Modèles mortalité, réserves. IA accélère les calculs, validation FINMA reste humaine.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert IFRS 17", "explanation_fr": "Reporting, validation modèles." }, { "role": "Spécialiste assurance dépendance", "explanation_fr": "LTC, financement soins." }, { "role": "Chief Actuary / CRO", "explanation_fr": "Risques, conseil d'administration." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Directeur commercial", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 14000, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour analyses et forecasting. Leadership et vision go-to-market restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "CCO / Chief Commercial Officer", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie revenus, comex." }, { "role": "Directeur international", "explanation_fr": "Export, partenariats." }, { "role": "Consultant revenue ops", "explanation_fr": "CRM, process, enablement." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable logistique retail", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D9Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "WMS IA, prévisions stock. Coordination flux et gestion fournisseurs restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert omnicanal & fulfilment", "explanation_fr": "Dark stores, last mile." }, { "role": "Responsable achats & prévisions", "explanation_fr": "Demand planning, S&OP." }, { "role": "Directeur supply chain retail", "explanation_fr": "Organisation, KPI." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Concepteur-vendeur", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D9Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 6800, "headcount_ch_2024": 10000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Logiciels 3D IA en appui mais conseil client et coordination terrain restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Commercial cuisines premium", "explanation_fr": "Marques haut de gamme." }, { "role": "Technico-commercial industrie", "explanation_fr": "Produits complexes, devis." }, { "role": "Expert solutions B2B", "explanation_fr": "Configurateurs, CPQ." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable franchise", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 3000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour audits et reporting. Culture réseau et animation restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur développement réseau", "explanation_fr": "Implantation, recrutement." }, { "role": "Responsable formation réseau", "explanation_fr": "Standards, académie." }, { "role": "Expert droit de la franchise", "explanation_fr": "Contrats, DIP, litiges." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Trade marketing manager", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 10500, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Planogrammes IA, analyse sell-out. Créativité activation et relation enseigne restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur trade marketing", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie enseigne, budget." }, { "role": "Expert promotion & pricing", "explanation_fr": "Mécaniques, sell-in/out." }, { "role": "Responsable category management", "explanation_fr": "Espace, assortiment." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Attaché commercial export", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D9Z60", "median_salary_chf_month": 9000, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Prospection IA, doublage traduction. Négociation interculturelle et partenaires locaux restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur export zone", "explanation_fr": "EMEA, APAC, stratégie." }, { "role": "Expert réglementation douanière", "explanation_fr": "Incoterms, conformité." }, { "role": "Responsable business développement", "explanation_fr": "Partenariats, distribution." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable développement commercial", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D9Z70", "median_salary_chf_month": 12000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Prospection IA, LinkedIn automation. Qualification stratégique et closing restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chief Revenue Officer", "explanation_fr": "Revenue ops, unification." }, { "role": "Expert M&A & partenariats", "explanation_fr": "Alliances, prises de participation." }, { "role": "Directeur SaaS développement", "explanation_fr": "PLG, expansion, CS." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Chargé clientèle B2B", "np_domain": "D", "np_domain_label": "Commerce, vente & marketing", "fap_code": "D9Z80", "median_salary_chf_month": 8000, "headcount_ch_2024": 14000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "CRM IA, prédiction churn. Fidélisation et gestion crise client restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Customer Success Manager", "explanation_fr": "SaaS, NRR, accompagnement." }, { "role": "Account executive senior", "explanation_fr": "Enterprise, cycles longs." }, { "role": "Responsable partenariats canal", "explanation_fr": "Revendeurs, MSP." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Rédacteur-concepteur", "np_domain": "E", "np_domain_label": "Communication, média, traduction", "fap_code": "E9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "ChatGPT, Claude transforment la production standard. Concept créatif différenciant et storytelling restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur de création", "explanation_fr": "Plateforme marque, campagnes." }, { "role": "Expert contenu SEO éditorial", "explanation_fr": "E-E-A-T, content ops." }, { "role": "Consultant brand content", "explanation_fr": "Ligne éditoriale, gouvernance." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Directeur communication", "np_domain": "E", "np_domain_label": "Communication, média, traduction", "fap_code": "E9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 14000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour monitoring. Stratégie narrative et crise management restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "CCO / Chief Communications Officer", "explanation_fr": "Comex, agenda corporate." }, { "role": "Directeur communication interne", "explanation_fr": "Culture, engagement." }, { "role": "Consultant communication financière", "explanation_fr": "IR, AGM, rapport annuel." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Content strategist", "np_domain": "E", "np_domain_label": "Communication, média, traduction", "fap_code": "E9Z70", "median_salary_chf_month": 9000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA accélère production mais vision éditoriale et impact business restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Head of Content", "explanation_fr": "Équipe, roadmap." }, { "role": "Spécialiste content ops", "explanation_fr": "Processus, gouvernance." }, { "role": "Expert content performance", "explanation_fr": "Analytics, conversion." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Économiste construction", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Chiffrage IA (BIM). Négociation et arbitrage variantes restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur études & prix", "explanation_fr": "Appels d'offres, pricing." }, { "role": "Expert CCTP & marchés publics", "explanation_fr": "Rédaction, droit commande." }, { "role": "Responsable contract management", "explanation_fr": "Avenants, litiges." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Contrôleur technique bâtiment", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F9Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 3000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Vérification stabilité, incendie. Responsabilité légale décennale irremplaçable.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert pathologies bâtiment", "explanation_fr": "Expertise judiciaire." }, { "role": "Contrôleur technique VRD", "explanation_fr": "Réseaux, voirie." }, { "role": "Responsable SPS", "explanation_fr": "Sécurité chantier." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Coordinateur BIM", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F9Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 3000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "BIM crée une demande pour des profils humains maîtrisant les outils.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "BIM Manager senior", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie, charte, formation." }, { "role": "Expert jumeau numérique", "explanation_fr": "Digital twin, exploitation." }, { "role": "Architecte data smart building", "explanation_fr": "IoT, GTB, données." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Charpentier", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 6800, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "CNC pour débit. Montage terrain et savoir-faire compagnonnique irremplaçables.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Charpentier bois haute perf", "explanation_fr": "CLT, écoquartiers." }, { "role": "Constructeur MOB", "explanation_fr": "Ossature bois, passif." }, { "role": "Expert restauration charpentes", "explanation_fr": "Patrimoine, MH." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Carreleur", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 6200, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Pose manuelle, découpes précises. Artisanat résidentiel reste manuel.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Poseur grand format & luxe", "explanation_fr": "Marbre, grès cérame." }, { "role": "Spécialiste mosaïque", "explanation_fr": "Piscines, premium." }, { "role": "Expert étanchéité", "explanation_fr": "Cuvelage, ITE." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Peintre bâtiment", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F9Z60", "median_salary_chf_month": 6000, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Robots pour grandes surfaces planes. Finitions et préparation restent manuelles.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Peintre décorateur", "explanation_fr": "Patines, trompe-l'œil." }, { "role": "Applicateur ITE", "explanation_fr": "Façades, rénovation." }, { "role": "Expert ravalement", "explanation_fr": "Hydrogommage, façades." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien topographe", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F9Z70", "median_salary_chf_month": 7200, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Levés LiDAR semi-automatiques. Traitement et responsabilité légale restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert drones & photogrammétrie", "explanation_fr": "UAV, nuages de points 3D." }, { "role": "Spécialiste SIG", "explanation_fr": "QGIS, ArcGIS." }, { "role": "Responsable projets infra", "explanation_fr": "Routes, rail, réseaux." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Paysagiste concepteur", "np_domain": "F", "np_domain_label": "Construction & bâtiment", "fap_code": "F9Z80", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 3000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour rendus visuels. Vision écologique et dialogue maîtres d'ouvrage restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Paysagiste DPLG maîtrise d'œuvre", "explanation_fr": "Marchés publics, ANRU." }, { "role": "Expert biodiversité urbaine", "explanation_fr": "CEREMA, trames." }, { "role": "Chef projet infrastructure verte", "explanation_fr": "Zones humides, corridors." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Revenue manager", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour yield dynamique. Stratégie distribution et décisions surclassement restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur revenue & distribution", "explanation_fr": "Groupe hôtelier, stratégie." }, { "role": "Expert OTA & digital", "explanation_fr": "Booking, Expedia." }, { "role": "Consultant revenue management", "explanation_fr": "Conseil, formation." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Barman", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G9Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 5000, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Créativité cocktails, atmosphère. Expérience live et personnalisation restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Bartender haut de gamme", "explanation_fr": "Palaces, cocktails premium." }, { "role": "Expert spiritueux & formation", "explanation_fr": "Mixologie, WSET." }, { "role": "Responsable F&B", "explanation_fr": "Bars, restaurants." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Gouvernant hôtel", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G9Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Robots de nettoyage existent mais supervision qualité et formation restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable qualité hébergement", "explanation_fr": "Standards, audits." }, { "role": "Expert économat", "explanation_fr": "Linge, standardisation." }, { "role": "Formateur housekeeping", "explanation_fr": "Marques premium." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Chef de réception", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 7000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Check-in automatique, chatbots. Gestion conflits et relation VIP restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Front office manager", "explanation_fr": "Équipe, standards, NPS." }, { "role": "Expert guest experience digitale", "explanation_fr": "App mobile, CRM." }, { "role": "Responsable fidélisation", "explanation_fr": "Programme loyauté." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Guide touristique", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 4500, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Audioguides IA. Récit vivant et interaction humaine différenciants pour circuits premium.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Guide luxe & privatif", "explanation_fr": "HNWI, circuits sur mesure." }, { "role": "Expert tourisme durable", "explanation_fr": "Écotourisme, label." }, { "role": "Créateur expériences immersives", "explanation_fr": "XR, storytelling." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Animateur club vacances", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G9Z70", "median_salary_chf_month": 4200, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Présence, énergie, créativité collective. Irremplaçable humainement.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable animation resort", "explanation_fr": "Équipe, programme." }, { "role": "Coordinateur sports & outdoor", "explanation_fr": "Compétitions, stages." }, { "role": "Expert tourisme wellness", "explanation_fr": "Spa, yoga, retreats." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien maintenance hôtelière", "np_domain": "G", "np_domain_label": "Hôtellerie, restauration, services personnels", "fap_code": "G9Z80", "median_salary_chf_month": 6000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Multitechnique, réactivité J/J. IoT monitoring, intervention physique irremplaçable.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable technique hôtel", "explanation_fr": "Bâtiment, sécurité." }, { "role": "Expert smart building", "explanation_fr": "BMS, GTB, énergie." }, { "role": "Technicien piscines & spa", "explanation_fr": "Traitement eau." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Soudeur industriel", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H9Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 7000, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Robots pour séries standards. Soudures complexes et positions spéciales restent manuelles.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Soudeur procédés spéciaux", "explanation_fr": "TIG, plasma, inox/titane." }, { "role": "Contrôleur soudures & CND", "explanation_fr": "Ultrasons, radiographie." }, { "role": "Programmeur robot soudage", "explanation_fr": "ABB, KUKA, offline." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Mécanicien-ajusteur", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 7200, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "CNC automatise les opérations répétitives. L'ajusteur intervient sur les pièces complexes.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Ajusteur outillages & prototypes", "explanation_fr": "Pièces uniques, horlogerie." }, { "role": "Technicien montage & réglage", "explanation_fr": "Lignes automatisées." }, { "role": "Technicien bancs d'essai", "explanation_fr": "Validation moteurs." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Opérateur CNC", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 6800, "headcount_ch_2024": 14000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Programmation IA en développement. Réglage, contrôle pièces et résolution problèmes restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Programmeur FAO & simulations", "explanation_fr": "CAM avancé, 5 axes." }, { "role": "Expert tournage de précision", "explanation_fr": "Décolletage, tolérances fines." }, { "role": "Responsable atelier usinage", "explanation_fr": "Planning, qualité." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien plasturgie", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H9Z60", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Injection automatisée mais réglage presse et contrôle qualité restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert composites & polymères", "explanation_fr": "R&D, caractérisation." }, { "role": "Technicien impression 3D", "explanation_fr": "SLS, SLA, post-traitement." }, { "role": "Responsable écoconception", "explanation_fr": "Recyclabilité, ACV." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien aéronautique", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H9Z70", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "PART-145, procédures strictes. Chaque intervention sous responsabilité humaine qualifiée.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert MRO & maintenance avion", "explanation_fr": "PART-66, EASA." }, { "role": "Technicien avionique", "explanation_fr": "Navigation, FMS." }, { "role": "Responsable qualité PART-145", "explanation_fr": "Airworthiness." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien montres", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H9Z90", "median_salary_chf_month": 7800, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Révision mouvement, réglage. Pénurie mondiale de réparateurs qualifiés. Arc jurassien.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Réparateur indépendant", "explanation_fr": "Ateliers, HNW." }, { "role": "Expert horlogerie collection", "explanation_fr": "Estimation, authentification." }, { "role": "Formateur horlogerie", "explanation_fr": "Écoles, CIFOM." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Opérateur traitement surface", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H9Z91", "median_salary_chf_month": 6000, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Galvanoplastie, peinture industrielle. Surveillance et maintenance bains restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Technicien traitements thermiques", "explanation_fr": "Trempe, revenu." }, { "role": "Expert revêtements techniques", "explanation_fr": "PVD, CVD, DLC." }, { "role": "Responsable environnement ICPE", "explanation_fr": "Rejets, REACH." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Ingénieur de production", "np_domain": "H", "np_domain_label": "Industrie & production", "fap_code": "H9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 10000, "headcount_ch_2024": 10000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Simulation IA. Optimisation process et amélioration continue restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable amélioration continue", "explanation_fr": "Lean, Six Sigma." }, { "role": "Expert maintenance prédictive", "explanation_fr": "CBM, IoT, CMMS." }, { "role": "Directeur opérations", "explanation_fr": "KPI, QHSE, P&L usine." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien froid industriel", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 7500, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Installations complexes, frigorigènes réglementés. Intervention technique irremplaçable.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert froid négatif & GDP", "explanation_fr": "Surgélation, pharma." }, { "role": "Technicien CO2 transcritique", "explanation_fr": "Transition frigorigènes." }, { "role": "Responsable maintenance multisites", "explanation_fr": "Contrats FM, SLA." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Électricien tertiaire", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I9Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 7200, "headcount_ch_2024": 12000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "NF C 15-100, habilitations. Travaux physiques irremplaçables.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert sécurité incendie", "explanation_fr": "SSI, détection." }, { "role": "Technicien courants faibles", "explanation_fr": "Réseaux, GTB." }, { "role": "Responsable travaux CFA/CFO", "explanation_fr": "Pilotage chantiers." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien instrumentation", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I9Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 8200, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Calibration, diagnostic. IA de surveillance en appui mais remise en conformité reste humaine.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert métrologie process", "explanation_fr": "COFRAC, étalonnage." }, { "role": "Technicien régulation", "explanation_fr": "PID, SCADA." }, { "role": "Spécialiste SIS & sécurité", "explanation_fr": "IEC 61511, SIL." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien énergies renouvelables", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 7200, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Marché en forte croissance. Installation PV, éoliennes. Travaux hauteur irremplaçables.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert dimensionnement PV", "explanation_fr": "Autoconsommation, stockage." }, { "role": "Technicien éolien", "explanation_fr": "Nacelles, offshore." }, { "role": "Responsable centrale EnR", "explanation_fr": "Monitoring, performance." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien télécoms", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 7500, "headcount_ch_2024": 9000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Déploiement fibre, 5G. Travaux terrain et interconnexion irremplaçables.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert fibre optique", "explanation_fr": "FTTH, PM, raccordements." }, { "role": "Technicien 5G & mobiles", "explanation_fr": "BTS, core network." }, { "role": "Spécialiste cybersécurité réseau", "explanation_fr": "Firewalls, SIEM." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien biomédical", "np_domain": "I", "np_domain_label": "Maintenance, installation, réparation", "fap_code": "I9Z70", "median_salary_chf_month": 8000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Maintenance équipements médicaux. Réglementation stricte. Irremplaçable en milieu hospitalier.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert imagerie médicale", "explanation_fr": "Siemens, GE Healthcare." }, { "role": "Ingénieur SI santé", "explanation_fr": "DMP, PACS, interopérabilité." }, { "role": "Responsable parc biomédical", "explanation_fr": "GHT, CHU." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Chirurgien", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J9Z80", "median_salary_chf_month": 18000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Da Vinci assiste mais le chirurgien décide et exécute. LPMéd CH.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chirurgien robotique", "explanation_fr": "Da Vinci, mini-invasif." }, { "role": "Expert chirurgie plastique", "explanation_fr": "Reconstructions, brûlés." }, { "role": "Directeur bloc opératoire", "explanation_fr": "Organisation, qualité." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Psychiatre", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 15000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Chatbots pour anxiété légère. Diagnostic DSM et psychothérapies complexes restent médicaux.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Spécialiste addictologie", "explanation_fr": "Alcool, opioïdes." }, { "role": "Psychiatre légiste", "explanation_fr": "Expertises judiciaires." }, { "role": "Expert santé mentale travail", "explanation_fr": "RPS, burn-out." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Pédiatre", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J9Z60", "median_salary_chf_month": 14000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour surveillance développement. Examen clinique et relation familles irremplaçables.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Néonatologiste", "explanation_fr": "Soins intensifs néonataux." }, { "role": "Pédiatre ambulatoire", "explanation_fr": "Suivi chronique, vaccins." }, { "role": "Expert santé enfant & école", "explanation_fr": "Médecin scolaire." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Gynécologue-obstétricien", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J9Z70", "median_salary_chf_month": 16000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2200, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour screening prénatal. Accouchement et urgences restent médicaux.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert fertilité & PMA", "explanation_fr": "FIV, embryologie." }, { "role": "Chirurgien gynécologique", "explanation_fr": "Cancers, laparoscopie." }, { "role": "Expert médecine fœtale", "explanation_fr": "DPN, amniocentèse." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Anesthésiste", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 19000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2800, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour monitoring peropératoire. Décision anesthésique et urgences vitales restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert douleur chronique", "explanation_fr": "Cliniques douleur." }, { "role": "Réanimateur USI", "explanation_fr": "Sepsis, ventilation." }, { "role": "Responsable SMUR", "explanation_fr": "Pré-hospitalier." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Cardiologue", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J9Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 17000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2500, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA (HeartFlow, Viz.ai) pour ECG et échocardiographie. Interprétation complexe reste médicale.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert électrophysiologie", "explanation_fr": "Ablation FA, stimulateurs." }, { "role": "Cardiologue interventionnel", "explanation_fr": "Angioplastie, TAVI." }, { "role": "Consultant santé numérique", "explanation_fr": "Wearables, télécardio." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Dermatologue", "np_domain": "J", "np_domain_label": "Santé & soins", "fap_code": "J9Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 14500, "headcount_ch_2024": 1800, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA détecte mélanomes. Diagnostic global et dermoscopie clinique restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert chirurgie dermato", "explanation_fr": "Exérèses, laser." }, { "role": "Spécialiste allergologie", "explanation_fr": "Tests, désensibilisation." }, { "role": "Consultant téléconsultation", "explanation_fr": "Plateformes, SaaS." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Assistant·e socio-familial·e (ASF) AFP", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "K9Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 4500, "headcount_ch_2024": 22000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Maintien à domicile. Présence humaine irremplaçable. Forte demande démographique.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Coordinateur aide à domicile", "explanation_fr": "SAAD, SPASAD." }, { "role": "Spécialiste autonomie", "explanation_fr": "AVQ, adaptation logement." }, { "role": "Expert silver economy", "explanation_fr": "Domotique, téléassistance." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Gestionnaire de tutelle", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "K9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 7000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour gestion administrative. Décision tutélaire et relation protégée restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert droit personnes protégées", "explanation_fr": "Réforme tutelles, MJPM." }, { "role": "Directeur association tutélaire", "explanation_fr": "Agrément, qualité." }, { "role": "Notaire spécialisé protection", "explanation_fr": "Mandats, habilitation." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Conseiller insertion professionnelle", "np_domain": "K", "np_domain_label": "Services à la personne & sécurité publique", "fap_code": "K9Z60", "median_salary_chf_month": 7000, "headcount_ch_2024": 6500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Matching IA pour offres emploi. Accompagnement et levée des freins restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert accompagnement chômeurs", "explanation_fr": "CEP, bilan, co-construction." }, { "role": "Responsable PLIE", "explanation_fr": "FSE+, gouvernance locale." }, { "role": "Coach emploi spécialisé", "explanation_fr": "Seniors, handicap." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien vidéo & projection", "np_domain": "L", "np_domain_label": "Spectacle & arts vivants", "fap_code": "L9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 5800, "headcount_ch_2024": 2000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Mapping IA, générateurs vidéo. Configuration systèmes et intervention live restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert mapping vidéo & XR", "explanation_fr": "TouchDesigner, installations." }, { "role": "Directeur photo broadcast", "explanation_fr": "TV, streaming." }, { "role": "Technicien OB van", "explanation_fr": "Régie mobile, sport." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Compositeur de musique", "np_domain": "L", "np_domain_label": "Spectacle & arts vivants", "fap_code": "L9Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 5000, "headcount_ch_2024": 1500, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Suno, AIVA composent. Création signature et interprétation directionnelle restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Compositeur musique à l'image", "explanation_fr": "Cinéma, jeux, publicité." }, { "role": "Arrangeur orchestral", "explanation_fr": "Philharmonique, enregistrement." }, { "role": "Expert musique interactive", "explanation_fr": "Audio adaptatif, FMOD." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Auteur dramatique", "np_domain": "L", "np_domain_label": "Spectacle & arts vivants", "fap_code": "L9Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 4000, "headcount_ch_2024": 800, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA peut écrire des dialogues mais vision d'auteur et mise en scène restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Auteur multi-format", "explanation_fr": "Théâtre, série, jeu." }, { "role": "Dramaturge compagnie", "explanation_fr": "Résidences, coproductions." }, { "role": "Expert droit auteur & SACD", "explanation_fr": "Contrats, perception." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Maquilleur artistique", "np_domain": "L", "np_domain_label": "Spectacle & arts vivants", "fap_code": "L9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 4500, "headcount_ch_2024": 1500, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Geste manuel unique. IA pour simulation rendu. Créativité et relation artiste irremplaçables.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chef maquilleur film & effets", "explanation_fr": "Prothèses, effets spéciaux." }, { "role": "Maquilleur scène & opéra", "explanation_fr": "Grands rôles, tournées." }, { "role": "Formateur maquillage artistique", "explanation_fr": "Écoles, académies." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien machiniste", "np_domain": "L", "np_domain_label": "Spectacle & arts vivants", "fap_code": "L9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 5500, "headcount_ch_2024": 1200, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Cintres motorisés IA assistés. Sécurité scénique et coordination irremplaçables.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chef machiniste plateau", "explanation_fr": "Opéra, théâtres nationaux." }, { "role": "Expert sécurité scénique", "explanation_fr": "DRAC, incendie." }, { "role": "Responsable décor & construction", "explanation_fr": "Ateliers, planning." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Directeur général PME", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 15000, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Vision stratégique, leadership. Décisions en incertitude irremplaçables.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "CEO scale-up", "explanation_fr": "Levées de fonds, croissance." }, { "role": "DG filiale groupe", "explanation_fr": "P&L local, coordination." }, { "role": "Entrepreneur & repreneur", "explanation_fr": "Transmission PME, LBO." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Directeur administratif financier", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 15000, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour reporting automatisé. Décisions financement et gestion de crise restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "CFO groupe international", "explanation_fr": "Consolidation, M&A." }, { "role": "DAF externalisé PME", "explanation_fr": "CFO as a service." }, { "role": "Expert trésorerie", "explanation_fr": "ALM, couvertures." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable systèmes information", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 13000, "headcount_ch_2024": 6500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour monitoring infra. Architecture et gouvernance SI restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "CIO & digital transformation", "explanation_fr": "Programme, cloud, budget." }, { "role": "Architecte d'entreprise", "explanation_fr": "TOGAF, urbanisation." }, { "role": "Expert SIRH", "explanation_fr": "SAP HCM, Workday." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Analyste business", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M9Z60", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour collecte et synthèse besoins. Modélisation processus et validation métier restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Product owner & agile BA", "explanation_fr": "Backlog, US, sprint." }, { "role": "Expert business intelligence", "explanation_fr": "Power BI, Tableau." }, { "role": "Consultant process mining", "explanation_fr": "Celonis, ARIS." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable développement durable", "np_domain": "M", "np_domain_label": "Support à l'entreprise (comptabilité, RH, juridique)", "fap_code": "M9Z70", "median_salary_chf_month": 10500, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Reporting IA, bilan carbone auto. Stratégie impact et relation parties prenantes restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur développement durable", "explanation_fr": "CSRD, net-zéro." }, { "role": "Expert taxonomie EU", "explanation_fr": "SFDR, PAI." }, { "role": "Responsable engagement parties", "explanation_fr": "Dialogue sociétal." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Marin / Officier de marine", "np_domain": "N", "np_domain_label": "Transport & logistique", "fap_code": "N9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 800, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Navigation automatisée partielle. Décisions sécurité et manœuvres portuaires restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Capitaine long-cours", "explanation_fr": "Porte-conteneurs, STCW." }, { "role": "Expert sécurité maritime", "explanation_fr": "Code ISM, MARPOL." }, { "role": "Pilote de port", "explanation_fr": "Assistance ports." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Conducteur bus", "np_domain": "N", "np_domain_label": "Transport & logistique", "fap_code": "N9Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 22000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Bus autonomes en test. Réglementation contraignante, transition lente. Relation voyageurs.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Conducteur lignes premium", "explanation_fr": "Eurolines, Flixbus." }, { "role": "Technicien bus électriques", "explanation_fr": "Maintenance BEV." }, { "role": "Formateur conduite économique", "explanation_fr": "Éco-conduite, sécurité." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Douanier", "np_domain": "N", "np_domain_label": "Transport & logistique", "fap_code": "N9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 8200, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour sélection contrôles. Décision contrôle physique et procédure judiciaire restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert douanes & commerce", "explanation_fr": "OFD, classification." }, { "role": "Spécialiste compliance douanière", "explanation_fr": "OEA, ICS2." }, { "role": "Enquêteur fraude douanière", "explanation_fr": "Contrefaçons, saisies." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Coordinateur transport multimodal", "np_domain": "N", "np_domain_label": "Transport & logistique", "fap_code": "N9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Optimisation IA routes et modes. Coordination inter-opérateurs et gestion incidents restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert intermodalité", "explanation_fr": "Fer-route, fluvial." }, { "role": "Responsable décarbonation transport", "explanation_fr": "GNV, hydrogène." }, { "role": "Directeur exploitation", "explanation_fr": "Flotte, conducteurs, P&L." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Technicien véhicules industriels", "np_domain": "N", "np_domain_label": "Transport & logistique", "fap_code": "N9Z70", "median_salary_chf_month": 7500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Diagnostic OBD2 assisté IA. Réparation moteurs et systèmes restent manuels.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Technicien PL électriques", "explanation_fr": "Nouveaux groupes motopropulseurs." }, { "role": "Expert ADR", "explanation_fr": "Matières dangereuses." }, { "role": "Responsable parc PL", "explanation_fr": "Flotte, TCO, conformité." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Agent de quai", "np_domain": "N", "np_domain_label": "Transport & logistique", "fap_code": "N9Z80", "median_salary_chf_month": 5500, "headcount_ch_2024": 14000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Grues automatisées. Supervision machines et gestion denrées restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Technicien grues & engins", "explanation_fr": "RTG, straddle carrier." }, { "role": "Responsable opérations terminaux", "explanation_fr": "Planning, KPI." }, { "role": "Expert logistique rhénane", "explanation_fr": "Trafic fluvial, barge." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Infographiste 3D", "np_domain": "O", "np_domain_label": "Audiovisuel & contenus numériques", "fap_code": "O9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 10000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA génère des assets 3D. Création complexe et pipeline production restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Superviseur VFX", "explanation_fr": "Nuke, Houdini, shots." }, { "role": "Expert environnements temps réel", "explanation_fr": "Unreal Engine, Unity." }, { "role": "Directeur créatif 3D", "explanation_fr": "Direction artistique." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable digital marketing", "np_domain": "O", "np_domain_label": "Audiovisuel & contenus numériques", "fap_code": "O9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 11000, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA personnalise et optimise. Stratégie budgétaire et créativité campagne restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "CMO / Directeur marketing", "explanation_fr": "Vision, marque, budget." }, { "role": "Expert acquisition performance", "explanation_fr": "Paid media, CAC, LTV." }, { "role": "Directeur data CRM", "explanation_fr": "CDP, segmentation." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Spécialiste droit public", "np_domain": "P", "np_domain_label": "Justice & sécurité publique spécialisée", "fap_code": "P9Z60", "median_salary_chf_month": 11000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour veille jurisprudentielle. Conseil collectivités et contentieux restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur juridique collectivité", "explanation_fr": "Mairie, intercommunalité." }, { "role": "Expert marchés publics", "explanation_fr": "Code commande publique." }, { "role": "Avocat droit public", "explanation_fr": "Recours, urbanisme." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Conseil en organisation", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "Q9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 12000, "headcount_ch_2024": 3500, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA analyse processus. Co-construction avec direction et terrain restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur Transformation", "explanation_fr": "Roadmap, change." }, { "role": "Expert design organisationnel", "explanation_fr": "Structure, gouvernance." }, { "role": "Coach d'organisation", "explanation_fr": "Systémique, facilitation." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Expert intelligence économique", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "Q9Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 11000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2500, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour OSINT et veille auto. Synthèse stratégique et recommandation restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable sécurité économique", "explanation_fr": "SISSE, grands comptes." }, { "role": "Consultant stratégie", "explanation_fr": "Porter, disruption." }, { "role": "Expert lobbying & affaires publiques", "explanation_fr": "Bruxelles, groupes." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Coach de dirigeants", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "Q9Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 13000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Alliance thérapeutique et présence humaine irremplaçables. ICF déontologie.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Coach certifié MCC ICF", "explanation_fr": "C-suite, boards." }, { "role": "Coach d'équipes", "explanation_fr": "Coaching systémique, ORSC." }, { "role": "Superviseur de coachs", "explanation_fr": "Formation, éthique." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Consultant IA", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "Q9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 14500, "headcount_ch_2024": 3000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA transforme aussi les outils du consultant IA. Expertise deployment et ROI restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur IA & ML", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie, architecture." }, { "role": "Expert déploiement enterprise", "explanation_fr": "MLOps, gouvernance." }, { "role": "Formateur IA & upskilling", "explanation_fr": "Formation équipes, DIF." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Auditeur RSE", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "Q9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 10000, "headcount_ch_2024": 2000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour données ESG. Évaluation terrain et certification restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Commissaire aux comptes RSE", "explanation_fr": "CSRD, DPEF." }, { "role": "Auditeur ISO 14001", "explanation_fr": "Systèmes management env." }, { "role": "Expert notation ESG", "explanation_fr": "MSCI, Sustainalytics." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Conseil en recrutement", "np_domain": "Q", "np_domain_label": "Professions juridiques", "fap_code": "Q9Z60", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour sourcing et matching. Évaluation culturelle et negotiation restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chasseur têtes executive", "explanation_fr": "C-level, board." }, { "role": "Expert assessment & talent", "explanation_fr": "Tests, development center." }, { "role": "Directeur RPO", "explanation_fr": "Externalisé, volume." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Professeur de langue", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "R9Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 8000, "headcount_ch_2024": 10000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Duolingo AI transforme l'autonomie. Conversation naturelle et pragmatique culturelle restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert FLE international", "explanation_fr": "IF, Alliance française." }, { "role": "Formateur langues entreprise", "explanation_fr": "Anglais des affaires." }, { "role": "Coordinateur langues", "explanation_fr": "Instituts, centres." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Formateur sécurité QHSE", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "R9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "E-learning adaptatif IA. Formations pratiques obligatoires irremplaçables en présentiel.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Expert QHSE multi-sites", "explanation_fr": "ISO 45001, analyse risques." }, { "role": "Responsable formation sécurité", "explanation_fr": "INRS, réglementations." }, { "role": "Formateur secourisme", "explanation_fr": "PSE1, PSE2, BLS." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable pédagogique", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "R9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour LMS analytics. Conception parcours et pilotage restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur pédagogique", "explanation_fr": "QUALIOPI, stratégie." }, { "role": "Expert learning design", "explanation_fr": "Articulate, SCORM." }, { "role": "Chief Learning Officer", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie formation." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Tuteur d'apprentissage", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "R9Z60", "median_salary_chf_month": 6500, "headcount_ch_2024": 18000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Transmission savoir-faire en situation. Irremplaçable dans le système dual.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Responsable relations apprentis", "explanation_fr": "CFA, OPCO, suivi." }, { "role": "Expert alternance & ingénierie", "explanation_fr": "Réforme, titres prof." }, { "role": "Maître d'apprentissage certifié", "explanation_fr": "CléA pédagogie." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Psychologue scolaire", "np_domain": "R", "np_domain_label": "Éducation, formation, recherche", "fap_code": "R9Z80", "median_salary_chf_month": 8500, "headcount_ch_2024": 4000, "exposure_score_primary": 2, "exposure_score_avg": 2.3, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Évaluation cognitive, soutien élèves. Relation enfant-famille irremplaçable.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Coordinateur RASED", "explanation_fr": "Réseau aides spécialisées." }, { "role": "Expert troubles dys & TDAH", "explanation_fr": "Bilans, adaptations." }, { "role": "Psychologue clinicien enfant", "explanation_fr": "Thérapies, suivi." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2023, "citation": "Acemoglu & Restrepo · tâches manuelles", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 2, "year": 2024, "citation": "ILO WP140 · exposition minimale", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 3, "exposure_score": 3, "year": 2024, "citation": "Le Temps · IA métiers terrain", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Développeur logiciel senior", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "S9Z10", "median_salary_chf_month": 13500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "Copilot, Cursor accélèrent production code. Architecture et debugging complexe restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Staff / Principal engineer", "explanation_fr": "RFC, systèmes distribués." }, { "role": "CTO & VP Engineering", "explanation_fr": "Technologie, scalabilité." }, { "role": "Fondateur tech / CTO", "explanation_fr": "Lean MVP, vision." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Analyste données", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "S9Z20", "median_salary_chf_month": 10500, "headcount_ch_2024": 6000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA génère dashboards et insights auto. Interprétation métier et décision restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Senior data analyst & storytelling", "explanation_fr": "Narration data, décision." }, { "role": "Responsable BI & data platform", "explanation_fr": "Gouvernance, team lead." }, { "role": "Expert analytics produit", "explanation_fr": "Funnels, A/B testing." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Testeur QA", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "S9Z30", "median_salary_chf_month": 9000, "headcount_ch_2024": 5000, "exposure_score_primary": 7, "exposure_score_avg": 7.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour test generation auto. Tests exploratoires et validation UX restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "QA automation engineer", "explanation_fr": "Playwright, Cypress." }, { "role": "Performance testing expert", "explanation_fr": "k6, JMeter." }, { "role": "Quality engineering lead", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie qualité, CI/CD." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2024, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM reproductibles", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2025, "citation": "Goldman Sachs · col blanc", "ai_type": "unspecified" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 7, "year": 2026, "citation": "MIT CCI · activités Think 72% valeur", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Chef de projet informatique", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "S9Z40", "median_salary_chf_month": 11500, "headcount_ch_2024": 10000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour planning automatisé. Gestion humaine équipe et arbitrages restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Directeur de programme SI", "explanation_fr": "Portefeuille, gouvernance." }, { "role": "Agile coach & transformation", "explanation_fr": "SAFe, LeSS, DevOps." }, { "role": "Expert delivery management", "explanation_fr": "CI/CD, incident management." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Administrateur systèmes", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "S9Z50", "median_salary_chf_month": 9500, "headcount_ch_2024": 8000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour automatisation récurrente. Architecture et réponse incidents restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Ingénieur infrastructure cloud", "explanation_fr": "AWS, Azure, Terraform." }, { "role": "Expert virtualisation", "explanation_fr": "Kubernetes, OpenShift." }, { "role": "Responsable sécurité infra", "explanation_fr": "Hardening, Zero Trust." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Responsable données & conformité", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "S9Z70", "median_salary_chf_month": 12500, "headcount_ch_2024": 3000, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour catalogage et qualité auto. Politique données et conformité restent humaines.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Chief Data Officer", "explanation_fr": "Stratégie data." }, { "role": "Expert RGPD & nLPD", "explanation_fr": "DPIA, registre, DPO." }, { "role": "Responsable data quality", "explanation_fr": "Règles, profiling." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" }, { "label": "Scrum master / Agile coach", "np_domain": "S", "np_domain_label": "Numérique & systèmes d'information", "fap_code": "S9Z80", "median_salary_chf_month": 10500, "headcount_ch_2024": 4500, "exposure_score_primary": 5, "exposure_score_avg": 5.0, "exposure_scale": "0-10 (sources académiques) ou 0-100 (Tufts/Coface). Voir methodologie.", "rationale_value": "IA pour métriques équipe. Animation cérémonies et coaching restent humains.", "reconversion_paths": [ { "role": "Enterprise agile coach", "explanation_fr": "SAFe SPC, large scale." }, { "role": "Lean product coach", "explanation_fr": "Kanban, flux, amélioration." }, { "role": "Directeur engineering", "explanation_fr": "Leadership, OKR d'équipe." } ], "sources": [ { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2024, "citation": "McKinsey · automatisation cognitive", "ai_type": "automation_broad" }, { "tier": 1, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2023, "citation": "Eloundou et al. · LLM exposition", "ai_type": "generative" }, { "tier": 2, "exposure_score": 5, "year": 2025, "citation": "WEF Future of Jobs 2025", "ai_type": "unspecified" } ], "_origin_set": "D_EXT2" } ] }